Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate overnight lows in Guangzhou near 26–27°C on September 22, driven by a persistent warm, humid subtropical air mass and frequent thunderstorm activity that limits nighttime radiative cooling. High dew points and cloud cover from the East Asian monsoon pattern sustain elevated minimum temperatures, consistent with late-summer climatology where average September lows hover around 24°C but recent conditions have trended warmer. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty in exact resolution thresholds, local microclimate variations across stations, and the timing of the official daily minimum reading amid ongoing showers. Updated model runs and China Meteorological Administration briefings through the evening will provide the final guidance before observations close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 22 сентября?
21°C или ниже 95%
31°C или выше 95%
30°C 40%
23°C 39%
21°C или ниже
95%
22°C
13%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
22%
27°C
22%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
40%
31°C или выше
95%
21°C или ниже 95%
31°C или выше 95%
30°C 40%
23°C 39%
21°C или ниже
95%
22°C
13%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
22%
27°C
22%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
40%
31°C или выше
95%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate overnight lows in Guangzhou near 26–27°C on September 22, driven by a persistent warm, humid subtropical air mass and frequent thunderstorm activity that limits nighttime radiative cooling. High dew points and cloud cover from the East Asian monsoon pattern sustain elevated minimum temperatures, consistent with late-summer climatology where average September lows hover around 24°C but recent conditions have trended warmer. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty in exact resolution thresholds, local microclimate variations across stations, and the timing of the official daily minimum reading amid ongoing showers. Updated model runs and China Meteorological Administration briefings through the evening will provide the final guidance before observations close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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