**Forecast models and local observations position overnight lows in Jinan around 24–26°C on August 27, 2026, keeping the 22°C-or-higher outcome dominant at 74% market-implied probability.** Persistent summer warmth from a lingering warm, humid air mass, combined with extensive cloud cover and thunderstorm activity, limits radiative cooling overnight. Jinan Meteorological Bureau guidance and international models (including high-resolution runs) consistently project a low near 25–26°C, with dew points remaining elevated near 23–24°C and light northeasterly winds preventing rapid temperature drops. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical overnight minima in the low-to-mid 20s°C under similar conditions, reinforcing the market consensus. No significant cold-air advection or clearing skies are expected to push temperatures into the low-20s or below, which explains the sharp drop in implied odds for 19–21°C outcomes and the near-zero probabilities below 18°C. Updated model guidance through the day will be the key near-term driver of any shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Цзинане 27 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Цзинане 27 августа?
22°C или выше 97%
19°C 74%
20°C 69%
21°C 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
27 авг. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
74%
20°C
69%
21°C
27%
22°C или выше
74%
22°C или выше 97%
19°C 74%
20°C 69%
21°C 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
27 авг. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
$607 Объем
1%
13°C
$612 Объем
1%
14°C
$171 Объем
1%
15°C
$322 Объем
1%
16°C
$62 Объем
1%
17°C
$67 Объем
1%
18°C
$198 Объем
2%
19°C
$92 Объем
74%
20°C
$43 Объем
69%
21°C
$11 Объем
27%
22°C или выше
$86 Объем
74%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and local observations position overnight lows in Jinan around 24–26°C on August 27, 2026, keeping the 22°C-or-higher outcome dominant at 74% market-implied probability.**
Persistent summer warmth from a lingering warm, humid air mass, combined with extensive cloud cover and thunderstorm activity, limits radiative cooling overnight. Jinan Meteorological Bureau guidance and international models (including high-resolution runs) consistently project a low near 25–26°C, with dew points remaining elevated near 23–24°C and light northeasterly winds preventing rapid temperature drops. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical overnight minima in the low-to-mid 20s°C under similar conditions, reinforcing the market consensus.
No significant cold-air advection or clearing skies are expected to push temperatures into the low-20s or below, which explains the sharp drop in implied odds for 19–21°C outcomes and the near-zero probabilities below 18°C. Updated model guidance through the day will be the key near-term driver of any shifts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 26, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Объем
$2,270Дата окончания
27 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and local observations position overnight lows in Jinan around 24–26°C on August 27, 2026, keeping the 22°C-or-higher outcome dominant at 74% market-implied probability.**
Persistent summer warmth from a lingering warm, humid air mass, combined with extensive cloud cover and thunderstorm activity, limits radiative cooling overnight. Jinan Meteorological Bureau guidance and international models (including high-resolution runs) consistently project a low near 25–26°C, with dew points remaining elevated near 23–24°C and light northeasterly winds preventing rapid temperature drops. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical overnight minima in the low-to-mid 20s°C under similar conditions, reinforcing the market consensus.
No significant cold-air advection or clearing skies are expected to push temperatures into the low-20s or below, which explains the sharp drop in implied odds for 19–21°C outcomes and the near-zero probabilities below 18°C. Updated model guidance through the day will be the key near-term driver of any shifts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,270Дата окончания
27 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and local observations position overnight lows in Jinan around 24–26°C on August 27, 2026, keeping the 22°C-or-higher outcome dominant at 74% market-implied probability.** Persistent summer warmth from a lingering warm, humid air mass, combined with extensive cloud cover and thunderstorm activity, limits radiative cooling overnight. Jinan Meteorological Bureau guidance and international models (including high-resolution runs) consistently project a low near 25–26°C, with dew points remaining elevated near 23–24°C and light northeasterly winds preventing rapid temperature drops. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical overnight minima in the low-to-mid 20s°C under similar conditions, reinforcing the market consensus. No significant cold-air advection or clearing skies are expected to push temperatures into the low-20s or below, which explains the sharp drop in implied odds for 19–21°C outcomes and the near-zero probabilities below 18°C. Updated model guidance through the day will be the key near-term driver of any shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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