Recent weather model consensus from agencies like the Malaysian Meteorological Department points to overnight lows near 24°C for Kuala Lumpur on September 1, consistent with the city's equatorial September climatology of 23–25°C minimums driven by high humidity, frequent convection, and minimal diurnal variation. Trader sentiment remains split near 50% on 20°C-or-below versus 30°C-or-higher outcomes because short-range forecasts carry uncertainty from variable monsoon moisture, urban heat-island effects, and possible model divergence on cloud cover that could either suppress or enhance radiative cooling. Historical records show rare excursions below 21°C or above 26°C in early September, underscoring why specific mid-20s bins cluster around 25% implied probability while broader tails reflect residual forecast spread ahead of final observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Куала-Лумпуре 1 сентября?
30°C or higher 98%
20°C or below 96%
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
20°C or below
96%
21°C
47%
22°C
47%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
98%
30°C or higher 98%
20°C or below 96%
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
20°C or below
96%
21°C
47%
22°C
47%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from agencies like the Malaysian Meteorological Department points to overnight lows near 24°C for Kuala Lumpur on September 1, consistent with the city's equatorial September climatology of 23–25°C minimums driven by high humidity, frequent convection, and minimal diurnal variation. Trader sentiment remains split near 50% on 20°C-or-below versus 30°C-or-higher outcomes because short-range forecasts carry uncertainty from variable monsoon moisture, urban heat-island effects, and possible model divergence on cloud cover that could either suppress or enhance radiative cooling. Historical records show rare excursions below 21°C or above 26°C in early September, underscoring why specific mid-20s bins cluster around 25% implied probability while broader tails reflect residual forecast spread ahead of final observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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