Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance indicate overnight lows for London on September 18 centered near 10–16°C, with the tightest clustering around 11–12°C driven by modest model spread in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and radiative cooling rates under light westerly flow. Clearer spells enhance surface heat loss, while increased low-level moisture or wind shear limits overnight drops; historical September minima average 11–13°C. Traders weigh these variables against the next model runs and any late adjustments in steering patterns before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 18 сентября?
11°C 50%
12°C 42%
13°C 37%
7°C 33%
6°C или ниже
26%
7°C
33%
8°C
33%
9°C
33%
10°C
33%
11°C
39%
12°C
42%
13°C
37%
14°C
30%
15°C
32%
16°C или выше
30%
11°C 50%
12°C 42%
13°C 37%
7°C 33%
6°C или ниже
26%
7°C
33%
8°C
33%
9°C
33%
10°C
33%
11°C
39%
12°C
42%
13°C
37%
14°C
30%
15°C
32%
16°C или выше
30%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance indicate overnight lows for London on September 18 centered near 10–16°C, with the tightest clustering around 11–12°C driven by modest model spread in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and radiative cooling rates under light westerly flow. Clearer spells enhance surface heat loss, while increased low-level moisture or wind shear limits overnight drops; historical September minima average 11–13°C. Traders weigh these variables against the next model runs and any late adjustments in steering patterns before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы