Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and GFS model runs show London's overnight minimum on September 4 settling near 15–16 °C under moderate westerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and mild maritime air from the Atlantic, keeping radiative cooling limited. This consensus, with dew points around 11–13 °C and winds of 10–15 mph preventing sharper drops, positions 16 °C as the modal outcome and explains its 56.5 % market-implied probability. Historical September baselines near 12–14 °C underscore the current mild anomaly, while model spread on exact cloud timing introduces modest uncertainty around 17 °C or 15 °C. Updated guidance expected later today could refine resolution thresholds for this daily minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 4 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Лондоне 4 сентября?
16°C 54%
17°C 34%
18°C 9%
15°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
3%
16°C
54%
17°C
34%
18°C
9%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C или выше
<1%
16°C 54%
17°C 34%
18°C 9%
15°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
$79 Объем
<1%
13°C
$102 Объем
<1%
14°C
$255 Объем
<1%
15°C
$424 Объем
3%
16°C
$825 Объем
54%
17°C
$933 Объем
34%
18°C
$1,342 Объем
9%
19°C
$550 Объем
1%
20°C
$1,838 Объем
<1%
21°C
$353 Объем
<1%
22°C или выше
$442 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and GFS model runs show London's overnight minimum on September 4 settling near 15–16 °C under moderate westerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and mild maritime air from the Atlantic, keeping radiative cooling limited. This consensus, with dew points around 11–13 °C and winds of 10–15 mph preventing sharper drops, positions 16 °C as the modal outcome and explains its 56.5 % market-implied probability. Historical September baselines near 12–14 °C underscore the current mild anomaly, while model spread on exact cloud timing introduces modest uncertainty around 17 °C or 15 °C. Updated guidance expected later today could refine resolution thresholds for this daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$7,143Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and GFS model runs show London's overnight minimum on September 4 settling near 15–16 °C under moderate westerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and mild maritime air from the Atlantic, keeping radiative cooling limited. This consensus, with dew points around 11–13 °C and winds of 10–15 mph preventing sharper drops, positions 16 °C as the modal outcome and explains its 56.5 % market-implied probability. Historical September baselines near 12–14 °C underscore the current mild anomaly, while model spread on exact cloud timing introduces modest uncertainty around 17 °C or 15 °C. Updated guidance expected later today could refine resolution thresholds for this daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,143Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and GFS model runs show London's overnight minimum on September 4 settling near 15–16 °C under moderate westerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and mild maritime air from the Atlantic, keeping radiative cooling limited. This consensus, with dew points around 11–13 °C and winds of 10–15 mph preventing sharper drops, positions 16 °C as the modal outcome and explains its 56.5 % market-implied probability. Historical September baselines near 12–14 °C underscore the current mild anomaly, while model spread on exact cloud timing introduces modest uncertainty around 17 °C or 15 °C. Updated guidance expected later today could refine resolution thresholds for this daily minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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