Recent forecast consensus from European models and local agencies such as ilMeteo indicates a minimum temperature near 22 °C for Milan on 27 August 2026, driven by warm, humid air under variable cloud cover with isolated thunderstorms that limit overnight radiational cooling. The Po Valley location typically experiences August nocturnal lows of 20–24 °C; current conditions, including dew points near 20 °C and light easterly flow, support the upper end of that range while suppressing deeper cooling. Updated model runs show little deviation from this central value, with only modest uncertainty from timing of any showers, aligning trader consensus with the 89 % market-implied probability for exactly 22 °C as the daily low.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Милане 27 августа?
22°C 99.5%
20°C 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
16°C or below <1%
$2,114 Объем
$2,114 Объем
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
22°C 99.5%
20°C 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
16°C or below <1%
$2,114 Объем
$2,114 Объем
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Recent forecast consensus from European models and local agencies such as ilMeteo indicates a minimum temperature near 22 °C for Milan on 27 August 2026, driven by warm, humid air under variable cloud cover with isolated thunderstorms that limit overnight radiational cooling. The Po Valley location typically experiences August nocturnal lows of 20–24 °C; current conditions, including dew points near 20 °C and light easterly flow, support the upper end of that range while suppressing deeper cooling. Updated model runs show little deviation from this central value, with only modest uncertainty from timing of any showers, aligning trader consensus with the 89 % market-implied probability for exactly 22 °C as the daily low.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы