Traders see the market for Moscow’s September 20 minimum temperature as finely balanced between 8 °C (55 %) and 5 °C or below (46 %) because model guidance and surface observations show marginal nocturnal cooling under variable cloud cover and light southwesterly flow. Clearer skies overnight enhance radiative heat loss from the surface, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind speed limits the drop; official forecasts from the Hydrometeorological Center place the low near 11–13 °C, yet small shifts in the position of a weak trough or timing of clearing can push readings several degrees lower. Historical September minima average around 7–9 °C, so the tight spread reflects uncertainty in how much additional cooling will occur before dawn. Updated model runs and real-time station data tonight will likely decide which outcome prevails.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Москве 20 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Москве 20 сентября?
5°C или ниже 100%
7°C 100%
8°C 51%
6°C 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
5°C или ниже
100%
6°C
19%
7°C
100%
8°C
51%
9°C
2%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C или выше
<1%
5°C или ниже 100%
7°C 100%
8°C 51%
6°C 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
5°C или ниже
$0 Объем
100%
6°C
$0 Объем
19%
7°C
$15 Объем
100%
8°C
$0 Объем
51%
9°C
$3,712 Объем
2%
10°C
$193 Объем
<1%
11°C
$276 Объем
<1%
12°C
$25 Объем
<1%
13°C
$37 Объем
<1%
14°C
$0 Объем
<1%
15°C или выше
$0 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the market for Moscow’s September 20 minimum temperature as finely balanced between 8 °C (55 %) and 5 °C or below (46 %) because model guidance and surface observations show marginal nocturnal cooling under variable cloud cover and light southwesterly flow. Clearer skies overnight enhance radiative heat loss from the surface, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind speed limits the drop; official forecasts from the Hydrometeorological Center place the low near 11–13 °C, yet small shifts in the position of a weak trough or timing of clearing can push readings several degrees lower. Historical September minima average around 7–9 °C, so the tight spread reflects uncertainty in how much additional cooling will occur before dawn. Updated model runs and real-time station data tonight will likely decide which outcome prevails.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$4,258Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the market for Moscow’s September 20 minimum temperature as finely balanced between 8 °C (55 %) and 5 °C or below (46 %) because model guidance and surface observations show marginal nocturnal cooling under variable cloud cover and light southwesterly flow. Clearer skies overnight enhance radiative heat loss from the surface, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind speed limits the drop; official forecasts from the Hydrometeorological Center place the low near 11–13 °C, yet small shifts in the position of a weak trough or timing of clearing can push readings several degrees lower. Historical September minima average around 7–9 °C, so the tight spread reflects uncertainty in how much additional cooling will occur before dawn. Updated model runs and real-time station data tonight will likely decide which outcome prevails.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,258Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the market for Moscow’s September 20 minimum temperature as finely balanced between 8 °C (55 %) and 5 °C or below (46 %) because model guidance and surface observations show marginal nocturnal cooling under variable cloud cover and light southwesterly flow. Clearer skies overnight enhance radiative heat loss from the surface, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind speed limits the drop; official forecasts from the Hydrometeorological Center place the low near 11–13 °C, yet small shifts in the position of a weak trough or timing of clearing can push readings several degrees lower. Historical September minima average around 7–9 °C, so the tight spread reflects uncertainty in how much additional cooling will occur before dawn. Updated model runs and real-time station data tonight will likely decide which outcome prevails.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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