Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate a minimum temperature near 10–12°C in Munich on September 19 under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This setup favors moderate radiational cooling overnight without strong cold-air advection or high pressure allowing deeper drops. Historical September lows average around 9.7°C, while recent days have shown similar mild conditions with limited diurnal range. The closely matched market odds on extremes (6°C or below versus 16°C or higher) reflect uncertainty in precise overnight minima from model spread and potential for localized variations, though ensemble consensus clusters in the 10–12°C range with low precipitation risk. Updated model runs and official observations will clarify resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Мюнхене 19 сентября?
6°C или ниже 81%
16°C или выше 78%
11°C 39%
12°C 39%
6°C или ниже
81%
7°C
25%
8°C
24%
9°C
21%
10°C
21%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
5%
15°C
5%
16°C или выше
78%
6°C или ниже 81%
16°C или выше 78%
11°C 39%
12°C 39%
6°C или ниже
81%
7°C
25%
8°C
24%
9°C
21%
10°C
21%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
5%
15°C
5%
16°C или выше
78%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate a minimum temperature near 10–12°C in Munich on September 19 under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This setup favors moderate radiational cooling overnight without strong cold-air advection or high pressure allowing deeper drops. Historical September lows average around 9.7°C, while recent days have shown similar mild conditions with limited diurnal range. The closely matched market odds on extremes (6°C or below versus 16°C or higher) reflect uncertainty in precise overnight minima from model spread and potential for localized variations, though ensemble consensus clusters in the 10–12°C range with low precipitation risk. Updated model runs and official observations will clarify resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы