Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local models indicate overnight lows in New York City around 73–77°F for August 13, driven by persistent summer warmth, elevated dew points, and limited nighttime radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. NOAA and NWS data show August climatological averages near 70°F, but 2026’s above-average temperature outlook and lack of cool air advection have shifted expectations higher. Trader consensus centers on 74–75°F as the most likely minimum because model runs converge on mild conditions without significant frontal passages or clear, dry nights that would allow deeper cooling. Updated guidance through the day will refine this range before the official Central Park observation closes the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 13 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 13 августа?
74-75°F 54%
76-77°F 44%
70-71°F 8%
72-73°F 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 авг. 2026 г.
61°F или ниже
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68–69°F
7%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
54%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F или выше
<1%
74-75°F 54%
76-77°F 44%
70-71°F 8%
72-73°F 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 авг. 2026 г.
61°F или ниже
$276 Объем
<1%
62-63°F
$276 Объем
<1%
64-65°F
$87 Объем
<1%
66-67°F
$489 Объем
<1%
68–69°F
$457 Объем
7%
70-71°F
$952 Объем
8%
72-73°F
$1,222 Объем
17%
74-75°F
$1,849 Объем
54%
76-77°F
$594 Объем
24%
78-79°F
$615 Объем
<1%
80°F или выше
$298 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local models indicate overnight lows in New York City around 73–77°F for August 13, driven by persistent summer warmth, elevated dew points, and limited nighttime radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. NOAA and NWS data show August climatological averages near 70°F, but 2026’s above-average temperature outlook and lack of cool air advection have shifted expectations higher. Trader consensus centers on 74–75°F as the most likely minimum because model runs converge on mild conditions without significant frontal passages or clear, dry nights that would allow deeper cooling. Updated guidance through the day will refine this range before the official Central Park observation closes the market.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Объем
$7,115Дата окончания
13 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local models indicate overnight lows in New York City around 73–77°F for August 13, driven by persistent summer warmth, elevated dew points, and limited nighttime radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. NOAA and NWS data show August climatological averages near 70°F, but 2026’s above-average temperature outlook and lack of cool air advection have shifted expectations higher. Trader consensus centers on 74–75°F as the most likely minimum because model runs converge on mild conditions without significant frontal passages or clear, dry nights that would allow deeper cooling. Updated guidance through the day will refine this range before the official Central Park observation closes the market.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,115Дата окончания
13 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local models indicate overnight lows in New York City around 73–77°F for August 13, driven by persistent summer warmth, elevated dew points, and limited nighttime radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. NOAA and NWS data show August climatological averages near 70°F, but 2026’s above-average temperature outlook and lack of cool air advection have shifted expectations higher. Trader consensus centers on 74–75°F as the most likely minimum because model runs converge on mild conditions without significant frontal passages or clear, dry nights that would allow deeper cooling. Updated guidance through the day will refine this range before the official Central Park observation closes the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы