Recent forecasts indicate mostly stable high pressure over the Yellow Sea region, with Qingdao minimum temperatures on September 2 expected near 22°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies and light northerly flow. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16–17°C versus slightly higher outcomes reflects model uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling rates, modulated by variable low-level humidity, wind speeds under 10 km/h, and possible marine-layer influence from the adjacent ocean. Clearer conditions or stronger advection of cooler continental air could push the daily low toward 16°C or below, while increased cloud cover or a weak sea breeze would favor readings near 17–18°C. Updated numerical guidance from regional models and official observations on September 1 will clarify these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Циндао 2 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Циндао 2 сентября?
16°C or below 100%
20°C 100%
18°C 75%
19°C 75%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
16°C or below
100%
17°C
51%
18°C
75%
19°C
75%
20°C
100%
21°C
14%
22°C
43%
23°C
43%
24°C
42%
25°C
42%
26°C or higher
48%
16°C or below 100%
20°C 100%
18°C 75%
19°C 75%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
16°C or below
$0 Объем
100%
17°C
$0 Объем
51%
18°C
$0 Объем
75%
19°C
$0 Объем
75%
20°C
$0 Объем
100%
21°C
$0 Объем
14%
22°C
$0 Объем
43%
23°C
$0 Объем
43%
24°C
$0 Объем
42%
25°C
$0 Объем
42%
26°C or higher
$0 Объем
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate mostly stable high pressure over the Yellow Sea region, with Qingdao minimum temperatures on September 2 expected near 22°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies and light northerly flow. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16–17°C versus slightly higher outcomes reflects model uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling rates, modulated by variable low-level humidity, wind speeds under 10 km/h, and possible marine-layer influence from the adjacent ocean. Clearer conditions or stronger advection of cooler continental air could push the daily low toward 16°C or below, while increased cloud cover or a weak sea breeze would favor readings near 17–18°C. Updated numerical guidance from regional models and official observations on September 1 will clarify these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate mostly stable high pressure over the Yellow Sea region, with Qingdao minimum temperatures on September 2 expected near 22°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies and light northerly flow. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16–17°C versus slightly higher outcomes reflects model uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling rates, modulated by variable low-level humidity, wind speeds under 10 km/h, and possible marine-layer influence from the adjacent ocean. Clearer conditions or stronger advection of cooler continental air could push the daily low toward 16°C or below, while increased cloud cover or a weak sea breeze would favor readings near 17–18°C. Updated numerical guidance from regional models and official observations on September 1 will clarify these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate mostly stable high pressure over the Yellow Sea region, with Qingdao minimum temperatures on September 2 expected near 22°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies and light northerly flow. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 16–17°C versus slightly higher outcomes reflects model uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling rates, modulated by variable low-level humidity, wind speeds under 10 km/h, and possible marine-layer influence from the adjacent ocean. Clearer conditions or stronger advection of cooler continental air could push the daily low toward 16°C or below, while increased cloud cover or a weak sea breeze would favor readings near 17–18°C. Updated numerical guidance from regional models and official observations on September 1 will clarify these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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