**Forecasts from Singapore's meteorological sources project a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 19, 2026, aligning with the market's dominant 86% implied probability for that outcome.** Under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, nighttime radiative cooling remains limited by high humidity (often 70-90%) and cloud cover, keeping overnight lows above the long-term September average of ~25-26°C. Recent observations and model consensus show minima consistently at or above 27°C, with no significant cool-air intrusions or clear-sky episodes expected to drive deeper drops. The secondary 25°C market (44.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in localized variations or model spread, while probabilities for 24°C or lower stay low given the stable tropical regime and official outlooks indicating minima will likely remain above 27°C. Updated model runs and real-time station data near resolution time will determine the exact recorded low.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сингапуре 19 сентября?
27°C 92%
24°C 25%
25°C 15%
23°C 9%
21°C или ниже
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
9%
24°C
25%
25°C
21%
26°C
47%
27°C
86%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C или выше
<1%
27°C 92%
24°C 25%
25°C 15%
23°C 9%
21°C или ниже
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
9%
24°C
25%
25°C
21%
26°C
47%
27°C
86%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from Singapore's meteorological sources project a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 19, 2026, aligning with the market's dominant 86% implied probability for that outcome.** Under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, nighttime radiative cooling remains limited by high humidity (often 70-90%) and cloud cover, keeping overnight lows above the long-term September average of ~25-26°C. Recent observations and model consensus show minima consistently at or above 27°C, with no significant cool-air intrusions or clear-sky episodes expected to drive deeper drops. The secondary 25°C market (44.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in localized variations or model spread, while probabilities for 24°C or lower stay low given the stable tropical regime and official outlooks indicating minima will likely remain above 27°C. Updated model runs and real-time station data near resolution time will determine the exact recorded low.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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