Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and climatological data indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C for Tokyo on August 15, consistent with typical August overnight lows of 23–25°C amid prevailing warm, humid conditions and no major cooling systems. This drives the overwhelming market-implied probability for 24°C, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and historical patterns where urban heat and seasonal norms rarely produce sharper drops. Realistic deviations would require an unforecasted frontal passage or localized heavy precipitation, though current observations show stable atmospheric conditions unlikely to shift the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Токио 15 августа?
24°C 100.0%
19°C или ниже <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$10,391 Объем
$10,391 Объем
19°C или ниже
Нет
20°C
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Да
25°C
Нет
26°C
Нет
27°C
Нет
28°C
Нет
29°C или выше
Нет
24°C 100.0%
19°C или ниже <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$10,391 Объем
$10,391 Объем
19°C или ниже
Нет
20°C
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Да
25°C
Нет
26°C
Нет
27°C
Нет
28°C
Нет
29°C или выше
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and climatological data indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C for Tokyo on August 15, consistent with typical August overnight lows of 23–25°C amid prevailing warm, humid conditions and no major cooling systems. This drives the overwhelming market-implied probability for 24°C, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and historical patterns where urban heat and seasonal norms rarely produce sharper drops. Realistic deviations would require an unforecasted frontal passage or localized heavy precipitation, though current observations show stable atmospheric conditions unlikely to shift the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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