Traders see 18°C and 17°C as near-even frontrunners because multiple forecast models and early observations for Zhengzhou on September 17 project an overnight low in that narrow range, with limited radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows minimums clustering near 18°C (roughly 64–65°F), consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September when daytime highs reach the mid-20s°C. Differentiation between 17°C and 18°C hinges on precise timing of the daily minimum, local station siting, and any late-night cloud breaks or humidity spikes that could enhance or suppress cooling. With resolution imminent, updated model runs and real-time station data will determine the final recorded value.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чжэнчжоу 17 сентября?
16°C 98%
15°C или ниже 90%
18°C 52%
17°C 47%
15°C или ниже
90%
16°C
98%
17°C
47%
18°C
52%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C или выше
<1%
16°C 98%
15°C или ниже 90%
18°C 52%
17°C 47%
15°C или ниже
90%
16°C
98%
17°C
47%
18°C
52%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Traders see 18°C and 17°C as near-even frontrunners because multiple forecast models and early observations for Zhengzhou on September 17 project an overnight low in that narrow range, with limited radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows minimums clustering near 18°C (roughly 64–65°F), consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September when daytime highs reach the mid-20s°C. Differentiation between 17°C and 18°C hinges on precise timing of the daily minimum, local station siting, and any late-night cloud breaks or humidity spikes that could enhance or suppress cooling. With resolution imminent, updated model runs and real-time station data will determine the final recorded value.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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