Forecast consensus from multiple models, including GFS runs, points to a daily high near 24–26°C in Zhengzhou under mostly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds of 5–8 mph and moderate humidity around 50–60%. This aligns with late-September climatology, where average highs reach about 26°C as seasonal cooling sets in after summer peaks. Limited solar heating from cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk cap any stronger warming, keeping extremes above 28°C or below 23°C at very low implied probabilities. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of recent model guidance and real-time observations around the 25°C threshold, with updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration likely to refine the exact peak before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чжэнчжоу 17 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Чжэнчжоу 17 сентября?
25°C 95%
26°C 4%
28°C 2%
31°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 сент. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
95%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C или выше
<1%
25°C 95%
26°C 4%
28°C 2%
31°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 сент. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
$92 Объем
<1%
23°C
$558 Объем
<1%
24°C
$1,277 Объем
<1%
25°C
$573 Объем
95%
26°C
$141 Объем
4%
27°C
$1,214 Объем
1%
28°C
$1,420 Объем
2%
29°C
$850 Объем
1%
30°C
$651 Объем
<1%
31°C
$52 Объем
1%
32°C или выше
$1,170 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models, including GFS runs, points to a daily high near 24–26°C in Zhengzhou under mostly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds of 5–8 mph and moderate humidity around 50–60%. This aligns with late-September climatology, where average highs reach about 26°C as seasonal cooling sets in after summer peaks. Limited solar heating from cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk cap any stronger warming, keeping extremes above 28°C or below 23°C at very low implied probabilities. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of recent model guidance and real-time observations around the 25°C threshold, with updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration likely to refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Объем
$8,000Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models, including GFS runs, points to a daily high near 24–26°C in Zhengzhou under mostly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds of 5–8 mph and moderate humidity around 50–60%. This aligns with late-September climatology, where average highs reach about 26°C as seasonal cooling sets in after summer peaks. Limited solar heating from cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk cap any stronger warming, keeping extremes above 28°C or below 23°C at very low implied probabilities. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of recent model guidance and real-time observations around the 25°C threshold, with updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration likely to refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$8,000Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models, including GFS runs, points to a daily high near 24–26°C in Zhengzhou under mostly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds of 5–8 mph and moderate humidity around 50–60%. This aligns with late-September climatology, where average highs reach about 26°C as seasonal cooling sets in after summer peaks. Limited solar heating from cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk cap any stronger warming, keeping extremes above 28°C or below 23°C at very low implied probabilities. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of recent model guidance and real-time observations around the 25°C threshold, with updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration likely to refine the exact peak before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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