This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Graham Platner has emerged as the clear frontrunner in Maine’s Democratic U.S. Senate primary after Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign in late April 2026. With the June 9 primary date approaching, party leaders and donors have quickly consolidated support behind the progressive oyster farmer and veteran, leaving only low-profile challengers such as David Costello in the field. Recent polling and convention activity reflect this rapid coalescence, as Democratic voters appear focused on preparing for the general-election contest against Republican incumbent Susan Collins. The market’s 98.3 percent implied probability for Platner incorporates this shift while leaving modest room for unforeseen developments before ballots are cast, including any last-minute shifts in turnout or candidate viability.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Graham Platner has emerged as the clear frontrunner in Maine’s Democratic U.S. Senate primary after Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign in late April 2026. With the June 9 primary date approaching, party leaders and donors have quickly consolidated support behind the progressive oyster farmer and veteran, leaving only low-profile challengers such as David Costello in the field. Recent polling and convention activity reflect this rapid coalescence, as Democratic voters appear focused on preparing for the general-election contest against Republican incumbent Susan Collins. The market’s 98.3 percent implied probability for Platner incorporates this shift while leaving modest room for unforeseen developments before ballots are cast, including any last-minute shifts in turnout or candidate viability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
May 2 2026
Graham Platner surges to near-certain frontrunner status in Maine Democratic Senate primary
Graham Platner jumps to 99%7%
Market prices surged to nearly 99% for Graham Platner as he became the overwhelming favorite to win the Democratic primary, reflecting broad voter support and the collapse of other candidates' chances, including Janet Mills who dropped to near zero.
Apr 17 2026
Maine legislature passes data center moratorium bill amid community backlash
Janet Mills plunges to 9%15%
Maine lawmakers approved a yearlong moratorium on large data centers, reflecting growing political opposition to tech projects due to concerns about energy use and community impact. Governor Janet Mills, running for Senate, faced this contentious issue, which may have influenced voter perceptions and the primary race.
Feb 27 2026
Maine governor challenges federal immigration enforcement amid rising community fear
Janet Mills drops to 22%12%
Governor Janet Mills publicly demanded warrants and transparency from federal immigration officials amid widespread fear in immigrant communities due to ICE operations. This stance likely affected her support in the Democratic primary, as voters reacted to the immigration enforcement climate.
Jan 23 2026
Platner wins endorsement from Senator Bernie Sanders
Graham Platner surges to 99%33%
Senator Sanders publicly endorsed Platner, cementing his anti‑establishment credentials and driving his price close to certainty.
Jan 15 2026
Department of Homeland Security launches immigration enforcement operation in Maine
Janet Mills dips to 33%3%
The DHS initiated 'Operation Catch of the Day' targeting criminal illegal migrants in Maine, leading to increased immigration enforcement activity. Governor Janet Mills publicly criticized the operation, highlighting tensions that may have influenced voter sentiment and the Senate primary dynamics.
Dec 30 2025
Maine Governor Mills declines to sign data‑center moratorium
Graham Platner surges to 92%34%
Mills’ decision not to sign the moratorium signaled a split with the legislature, further isolating her and boosting Platner’s momentum.
Dec 18 2025
Maine Democratic Party removes Mills from primary ballot
Janet Mills plunges to 0%36%
Following her withdrawal, the state party officially struck Mills’ name from the ballot, effectively ending her campaign and solidifying Platner’s lead.
Dec 7 2025
Maine Democratic Party releases fundraising report showing Platner outpacing Mills
Graham Platner surges to 78%17%
A state‑party filing revealed Platner had raised significantly more money than Mills, confirming his growing viability and pushing his market price higher.
Nov 25 2025
Janet Mills announces she will not seek re‑election as governor
Janet Mills plunges to 9%21%
Mills confirmed she would not run for a third term as governor, removing any fallback option and further eroding her political base in the Senate race.
Nov 14 2025
Janet Mills withdraws from Maine Senate race, citing fundraising challenges
Graham Platner jumps to 64%5%
Janet Mills, the Democratic governor of Maine and party establishment favorite, announced her withdrawal from the U.S. Senate race after failing to generate sufficient fundraising and enthusiasm to compete against Graham Platner, an oyster farmer and political newcomer. This marked a major upset and shifted market confidence heavily towards Platner.
Nov 13 2025
Schumer’s recruitment of Platner criticized by moderate Democrats
Graham Platner surges to 72%27%
Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer’s backing of Platner drew backlash from moderate Democrats, reinforcing the narrative of an anti‑establishment wave and further rallying grassroots support for Platner.
Oct 22 2025
Maine Legislature passes data‑center moratorium bill
Graham Platner jumps to 64%11%
The Democratic‑controlled Legislature approved a year‑long freeze on large data‑center projects, sending the bill to Gov. Mills. The controversy over tech development highlighted local economic concerns and boosted Platner’s outsider appeal.
Oct 14 2025
Jared Golden ends Senate campaign
Jared Golden drops to 0%11%
Golden withdrew from the race, causing his price to fall to zero.
Oct 12 2025
Troy Jackson exits Maine Senate primary
Troy Jackson dips to 0%3%
Jackson announced his withdrawal, pushing his market price to zero.
Oct 10 2025
Jordan Wood suspends Senate campaign
Jordan Wood plunges to 0%19%
Wood withdrew, eliminating his share of the race and driving his price to zero.
Oct 8 2025
Chellie Pingree ends Senate bid
Chellie Pingree dips to 0%3%
Pingree formally ended her campaign, sending her price to zero.
Oct 5 2025
Dan Kleban drops out of Senate primary
Dan Kleban plunges to 0%15%
Kleban announced he would not continue his campaign, causing his market price to collapse to zero.
Oct 3 2025
Gov. Janet Mills withdraws from Maine Democratic Senate primary, endorses Graham Platner
Graham Platner jumps to 59%14%
Mills announced she could not raise sufficient funds and withdrew, effectively clearing the field for Platner and causing his support to surge as voters coalesced around the anti‑establishment candidate.
Oct 3 2025
Gov. Janet Mills abandons Senate campaign, endorses Graham Platner
Graham Platner surges to 60%18%
Maine’s two‑term Democratic governor announced she could not raise enough funds and withdrew, throwing her support behind oyster farmer Graham Platner. The move eliminated the establishment favorite and sent Platner’s market price sharply upward.
Sep 20 2025
Early poll shows Platner leading primary field
Graham Platner jumps to 42%8%
A regional poll released by a local news outlet placed Platner ahead of Mills and other candidates, prompting early price gains for Platner and declines for the rest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Graham Platner has emerged as the clear frontrunner in Maine’s Democratic U.S. Senate primary after Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign in late April 2026. With the June 9 primary date approaching, party leaders and donors have quickly consolidated support behind the progressive oyster farmer and veteran, leaving only low-profile challengers such as David Costello in the field. Recent polling and convention activity reflect this rapid coalescence, as Democratic voters appear focused on preparing for the general-election contest against Republican incumbent Susan Collins. The market’s 98.3 percent implied probability for Platner incorporates this shift while leaving modest room for unforeseen developments before ballots are cast, including any last-minute shifts in turnout or candidate viability.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.
If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Graham Platner has emerged as the clear frontrunner in Maine’s Democratic U.S. Senate primary after Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign in late April 2026. With the June 9 primary date approaching, party leaders and donors have quickly consolidated support behind the progressive oyster farmer and veteran, leaving only low-profile challengers such as David Costello in the field. Recent polling and convention activity reflect this rapid coalescence, as Democratic voters appear focused on preparing for the general-election contest against Republican incumbent Susan Collins. The market’s 98.3 percent implied probability for Platner incorporates this shift while leaving modest room for unforeseen developments before ballots are cast, including any last-minute shifts in turnout or candidate viability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
May 2 2026
Graham Platner surges to near-certain frontrunner status in Maine Democratic Senate primary
Graham Platner jumps to 99%7%
Market prices surged to nearly 99% for Graham Platner as he became the overwhelming favorite to win the Democratic primary, reflecting broad voter support and the collapse of other candidates' chances, including Janet Mills who dropped to near zero.
Apr 17 2026
Maine legislature passes data center moratorium bill amid community backlash
Janet Mills plunges to 9%15%
Maine lawmakers approved a yearlong moratorium on large data centers, reflecting growing political opposition to tech projects due to concerns about energy use and community impact. Governor Janet Mills, running for Senate, faced this contentious issue, which may have influenced voter perceptions and the primary race.
Feb 27 2026
Maine governor challenges federal immigration enforcement amid rising community fear
Janet Mills drops to 22%12%
Governor Janet Mills publicly demanded warrants and transparency from federal immigration officials amid widespread fear in immigrant communities due to ICE operations. This stance likely affected her support in the Democratic primary, as voters reacted to the immigration enforcement climate.
Jan 23 2026
Platner wins endorsement from Senator Bernie Sanders
Graham Platner surges to 99%33%
Senator Sanders publicly endorsed Platner, cementing his anti‑establishment credentials and driving his price close to certainty.
Jan 15 2026
Department of Homeland Security launches immigration enforcement operation in Maine
Janet Mills dips to 33%3%
The DHS initiated 'Operation Catch of the Day' targeting criminal illegal migrants in Maine, leading to increased immigration enforcement activity. Governor Janet Mills publicly criticized the operation, highlighting tensions that may have influenced voter sentiment and the Senate primary dynamics.
Dec 30 2025
Maine Governor Mills declines to sign data‑center moratorium
Graham Platner surges to 92%34%
Mills’ decision not to sign the moratorium signaled a split with the legislature, further isolating her and boosting Platner’s momentum.
Dec 18 2025
Maine Democratic Party removes Mills from primary ballot
Janet Mills plunges to 0%36%
Following her withdrawal, the state party officially struck Mills’ name from the ballot, effectively ending her campaign and solidifying Platner’s lead.
Dec 7 2025
Maine Democratic Party releases fundraising report showing Platner outpacing Mills
Graham Platner surges to 78%17%
A state‑party filing revealed Platner had raised significantly more money than Mills, confirming his growing viability and pushing his market price higher.
Nov 25 2025
Janet Mills announces she will not seek re‑election as governor
Janet Mills plunges to 9%21%
Mills confirmed she would not run for a third term as governor, removing any fallback option and further eroding her political base in the Senate race.
Nov 14 2025
Janet Mills withdraws from Maine Senate race, citing fundraising challenges
Graham Platner jumps to 64%5%
Janet Mills, the Democratic governor of Maine and party establishment favorite, announced her withdrawal from the U.S. Senate race after failing to generate sufficient fundraising and enthusiasm to compete against Graham Platner, an oyster farmer and political newcomer. This marked a major upset and shifted market confidence heavily towards Platner.
Nov 13 2025
Schumer’s recruitment of Platner criticized by moderate Democrats
Graham Platner surges to 72%27%
Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer’s backing of Platner drew backlash from moderate Democrats, reinforcing the narrative of an anti‑establishment wave and further rallying grassroots support for Platner.
Oct 22 2025
Maine Legislature passes data‑center moratorium bill
Graham Platner jumps to 64%11%
The Democratic‑controlled Legislature approved a year‑long freeze on large data‑center projects, sending the bill to Gov. Mills. The controversy over tech development highlighted local economic concerns and boosted Platner’s outsider appeal.
Oct 14 2025
Jared Golden ends Senate campaign
Jared Golden drops to 0%11%
Golden withdrew from the race, causing his price to fall to zero.
Oct 12 2025
Troy Jackson exits Maine Senate primary
Troy Jackson dips to 0%3%
Jackson announced his withdrawal, pushing his market price to zero.
Oct 10 2025
Jordan Wood suspends Senate campaign
Jordan Wood plunges to 0%19%
Wood withdrew, eliminating his share of the race and driving his price to zero.
Oct 8 2025
Chellie Pingree ends Senate bid
Chellie Pingree dips to 0%3%
Pingree formally ended her campaign, sending her price to zero.
Oct 5 2025
Dan Kleban drops out of Senate primary
Dan Kleban plunges to 0%15%
Kleban announced he would not continue his campaign, causing his market price to collapse to zero.
Oct 3 2025
Gov. Janet Mills withdraws from Maine Democratic Senate primary, endorses Graham Platner
Graham Platner jumps to 59%14%
Mills announced she could not raise sufficient funds and withdrew, effectively clearing the field for Platner and causing his support to surge as voters coalesced around the anti‑establishment candidate.
Oct 3 2025
Gov. Janet Mills abandons Senate campaign, endorses Graham Platner
Graham Platner surges to 60%18%
Maine’s two‑term Democratic governor announced she could not raise enough funds and withdrew, throwing her support behind oyster farmer Graham Platner. The move eliminated the establishment favorite and sent Platner’s market price sharply upward.
Sep 20 2025
Early poll shows Platner leading primary field
Graham Platner jumps to 42%8%
A regional poll released by a local news outlet placed Platner ahead of Mills and other candidates, prompting early price gains for Platner and declines for the rest.
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Часто задаваемые вопросы
«Победитель первичных выборов в Сенат от Демократической партии штата Мэн» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Грэм Платнер» с 98%, за ним следует «Дженет Миллс» с 1%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 98¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 98%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.
На сегодняшний день «Победитель первичных выборов в Сенат от Демократической партии штата Мэн» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $3 million с момента запуска рынка Sep 15, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.
Чтобы торговать на «Победитель первичных выборов в Сенат от Демократической партии штата Мэн», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.
Текущий фаворит для «Победитель первичных выборов в Сенат от Демократической партии штата Мэн» — «Грэм Платнер» с 98%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 98%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Дженет Миллс» с 1%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.
Правила разрешения «Победитель первичных выборов в Сенат от Демократической партии штата Мэн» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.
Да. Тебе не нужно торговать, чтобы оставаться в курсе. Эта страница служит трекером в реальном времени для «Победитель первичных выборов в Сенат от Демократической партии штата Мэн». Вероятности исходов обновляются в реальном времени по мере поступления новых сделок. Ты можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки и читать раздел комментариев, чтобы узнать мнение других трейдеров. Ты также можешь использовать фильтры временного диапазона на графике, чтобы увидеть, как менялись коэффициенты со временем.
Коэффициенты Polymarket устанавливаются реальными трейдерами, вкладывающими реальные деньги в свои убеждения, что обычно приводит к точным прогнозам. С объёмом торгов $3 million по “Победитель первичных выборов в Сенат от Демократической партии штата Мэн” эти цены агрегируют коллективные знания и убеждённость тысяч участников — часто превосходя опросы, экспертные прогнозы и традиционные исследования. Рынки прогнозов, такие как Polymarket, имеют сильный послужной список точности, особенно когда события приближаются к дате разрешения. Например, месячный показатель точности Polymarket составляет 94%. Для получения последних статистических данных о точности прогнозов Polymarket посети страницу точности на Polymarket.
Чтобы совершить первую сделку на «Победитель первичных выборов в Сенат от Демократической партии штата Мэн», зарегистрируй бесплатный аккаунт на Polymarket и пополни его с помощью криптовалюты, кредитной или дебетовой карты или банковского перевода. После пополнения аккаунта вернись на эту страницу, выбери исход, на который хочешь торговать, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты новичок на рынках прогнозов, нажми на ссылку «Как это работает» вверху любой страницы Polymarket для пошагового руководства.
На Polymarket цена каждого исхода представляет подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Цена 98¢ для «Грэм Платнер» на рынке «Победитель первичных выборов в Сенат от Демократической партии штата Мэн» означает, что трейдеры коллективно оценивают вероятность того, что «Грэм Платнер» будет правильным результатом, примерно в 98%. Если ты купишь акции «Да» по 98¢ и исход окажется правильным, ты получишь $1,00 за акцию — прибыль 2¢ за акцию. Если нет — эти акции будут стоить $0.
Рынок «Победитель первичных выборов в Сенат от Демократической партии штата Мэн» запланирован к разрешению примерно Jun 9, 2026. Это означает, что торговля остаётся открытой, а коэффициенты продолжат меняться до этой даты. Точные сроки разрешения зависят от момента появления официального результата, как описано в разделе «Правила».
Рынок «Победитель первичных выборов в Сенат от Демократической партии штата Мэн» имеет активное сообщество из 38 комментариев, где трейдеры делятся своим анализом, обсуждают исходы и последние события. Прокрути вниз до раздела комментариев, чтобы прочитать, что думают другие участники. Ты также можешь фильтровать по «Топ-держателям» или проверить вкладку «Активность» для ленты сделок в реальном времени.
Polymarket — крупнейший в мире рынок прогнозов, где ты можешь оставаться в курсе событий и зарабатывать на своих знаниях о реальных событиях. Трейдеры покупают и продают акции на исходы по темам от политики и выборов до криптовалют, финансов, спорта, технологий и культуры, включая рынки вроде «Победитель первичных выборов в Сенат от Демократической партии штата Мэн». Цены отражают вероятности в реальном времени, подкреплённые финансовыми убеждениями, зачастую обеспечивая более быстрые и точные сигналы, чем опросы, эксперты или традиционные исследования.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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Часто задаваемые вопросы