Maryland's entrenched Democratic advantage and incumbent Governor Wes Moore's strong standing underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. The state has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 15 points in recent cycles, reinforced by Moore's high approval ratings and broad appeal across key voting blocs. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest as solidly Democratic, reflecting limited Republican fundraising and a primary field of lesser-known candidates facing an uphill path. Upcoming June primaries could clarify the Republican nominee, yet structural factors such as turnout patterns and the absence of major scandals or policy reversals limit realistic pathways for an upset. Late shifts in national sentiment or unexpected primary surprises remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Мэриленда
$15,599 Объем
$15,599 Объем

Демократ
94%

Республиканец
6%
$15,599 Объем
$15,599 Объем

Демократ
94%

Республиканец
6%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's entrenched Democratic advantage and incumbent Governor Wes Moore's strong standing underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. The state has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 15 points in recent cycles, reinforced by Moore's high approval ratings and broad appeal across key voting blocs. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest as solidly Democratic, reflecting limited Republican fundraising and a primary field of lesser-known candidates facing an uphill path. Upcoming June primaries could clarify the Republican nominee, yet structural factors such as turnout patterns and the absence of major scandals or policy reversals limit realistic pathways for an upset. Late shifts in national sentiment or unexpected primary surprises remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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