Massachusetts's consistent Democratic dominance in federal elections, reinforced by the state's voter registration patterns and historical margins exceeding 20 points in recent Senate contests, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic victory. Incumbent Ed Markey faces a September 1 primary challenge from Rep. Seth Moulton, with recent polls showing Markey ahead, while the Republican field remains fragmented and low-profile ahead of the November general election. This structural environment leaves limited openings for an upset. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen primary surprise shifting momentum or late developments elevating a Republican contender, though such shifts remain uncommon given the state's electoral baseline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат штата Массачусетс
Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Массачусетс
$24,225 Объем
$24,225 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
98%
Республиканец
2%
$24,225 Объем
$24,225 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ
$18,799 Объем
98%
Республиканец
$5,426 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts's consistent Democratic dominance in federal elections, reinforced by the state's voter registration patterns and historical margins exceeding 20 points in recent Senate contests, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic victory. Incumbent Ed Markey faces a September 1 primary challenge from Rep. Seth Moulton, with recent polls showing Markey ahead, while the Republican field remains fragmented and low-profile ahead of the November general election. This structural environment leaves limited openings for an upset. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen primary surprise shifting momentum or late developments elevating a Republican contender, though such shifts remain uncommon given the state's electoral baseline.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Объем
$24,225Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts's consistent Democratic dominance in federal elections, reinforced by the state's voter registration patterns and historical margins exceeding 20 points in recent Senate contests, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic victory. Incumbent Ed Markey faces a September 1 primary challenge from Rep. Seth Moulton, with recent polls showing Markey ahead, while the Republican field remains fragmented and low-profile ahead of the November general election. This structural environment leaves limited openings for an upset. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen primary surprise shifting momentum or late developments elevating a Republican contender, though such shifts remain uncommon given the state's electoral baseline.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$24,225Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's consistent Democratic dominance in federal elections, reinforced by the state's voter registration patterns and historical margins exceeding 20 points in recent Senate contests, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic victory. Incumbent Ed Markey faces a September 1 primary challenge from Rep. Seth Moulton, with recent polls showing Markey ahead, while the Republican field remains fragmented and low-profile ahead of the November general election. This structural environment leaves limited openings for an upset. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen primary surprise shifting momentum or late developments elevating a Republican contender, though such shifts remain uncommon given the state's electoral baseline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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