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icon for Мин. площадь арктического морского льда этим летом?

Мин. площадь арктического морского льда этим летом?

icon for Мин. площадь арктического морского льда этим летом?

Мин. площадь арктического морского льда этим летом?

4,4-4,6 млн кв. км 28.2%

4,6–4,8 млн кв. км 27.7%

4,2-4,4 млн кв. км 23.8%

4,0–4,2 млн кв. км 20.4%

Polymarket

$66,635 Объем

4,4-4,6 млн кв. км 28.2%

4,6–4,8 млн кв. км 27.7%

4,2-4,4 млн кв. км 23.8%

4,0–4,2 млн кв. км 20.4%

Polymarket

$66,635 Объем

<4 млн кв км

$30,295 Объем

12%

4,0–4,2 млн кв. км

$6,497 Объем

20%

4,2-4,4 млн кв. км

$2,846 Объем

24%

4,4-4,6 млн кв. км

$3,047 Объем

28%

4,6–4,8 млн кв. км

$6,757 Объем

28%

4,8–5 млн кв. км

$2,809 Объем

3%

5+ млн кв. км

$14,385 Объем

3%

This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center. This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Recent record-low winter maximum and early summer melt have positioned 2026 Arctic sea ice extent near 2025 levels, with June values ranking fifth lowest on record and July extent 14 percent below the 1991-2020 median. Thin first-year ice from the weak 2026 maximum, combined with above-average ocean heat and early marginal-sea melt, favors a September minimum in the 4.4–4.8 million square kilometer range. Traders weigh competing influences: persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies could intensify surface melt and export through Fram Strait, pushing toward 4.2–4.4, while increased cloudiness or cyclonic activity may slow losses and support higher outcomes. Model spreads and upcoming August weather patterns create the tight distribution around these bins.

This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.

This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Объем
$66,635
Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 20, 2025, 6:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center. This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center. This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Recent record-low winter maximum and early summer melt have positioned 2026 Arctic sea ice extent near 2025 levels, with June values ranking fifth lowest on record and July extent 14 percent below the 1991-2020 median. Thin first-year ice from the weak 2026 maximum, combined with above-average ocean heat and early marginal-sea melt, favors a September minimum in the 4.4–4.8 million square kilometer range. Traders weigh competing influences: persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies could intensify surface melt and export through Fram Strait, pushing toward 4.2–4.4, while increased cloudiness or cyclonic activity may slow losses and support higher outcomes. Model spreads and upcoming August weather patterns create the tight distribution around these bins.

This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center.

This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Объем
$66,635
Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Nov 20, 2025, 6:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center. This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.

Связанные

icon for Увеличится ли глобальная температура более чем на 1,29ºC в августе 2026 года?

Увеличится ли глобальная температура более чем на 1,29ºC в августе 2026 года?

96%
Да
icon for Will global temperature increase by between 1.34ºC and 1.37ºC in August 2026?

Will global temperature increase by between 1.34ºC and 1.37ºC in August 2026?

40%
icon for Will August 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?

Will August 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?

96%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Мин. площадь арктического морского льда этим летом?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «4,4-4,6 млн кв. км» с 28%, за ним следует «4,6–4,8 млн кв. км» с 28%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 28¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 28%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Мин. площадь арктического морского льда этим летом?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $66.6K с момента запуска рынка Nov 20, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Мин. площадь арктического морского льда этим летом?», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Мин. площадь арктического морского льда этим летом?» — «4,4-4,6 млн кв. км» с 28%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 28%. Следующий ближайший исход — «4,6–4,8 млн кв. км» с 28%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Мин. площадь арктического морского льда этим летом?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.