The Democratic Party's strong position in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District stems from its status as a longstanding majority-Black seat held by incumbent Bennie Thompson since 1993. Thompson secured the Democratic nomination in March 2026 with over 86 percent of the primary vote, while Republican nominee Ron Eller emerged from a low-turnout contest. Recent developments have reinforced this outlook: Governor Tate Reeves canceled a planned special legislative session on congressional redistricting in mid-May 2026, deferring map changes until after the November election. This preserves the current boundaries for the general election on November 3, limiting opportunities for Republican gains in a district where Democratic performance has historically exceeded 70 percent. Traders reflect this stability through elevated implied probabilities for the Democratic outcome ahead of the vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMS-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MS-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$22,149 Объем
$22,149 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
89%
Республиканская партия
11%
$22,149 Объем
$22,149 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$11,683 Объем
89%
Республиканская партия
$10,466 Объем
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party's strong position in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District stems from its status as a longstanding majority-Black seat held by incumbent Bennie Thompson since 1993. Thompson secured the Democratic nomination in March 2026 with over 86 percent of the primary vote, while Republican nominee Ron Eller emerged from a low-turnout contest. Recent developments have reinforced this outlook: Governor Tate Reeves canceled a planned special legislative session on congressional redistricting in mid-May 2026, deferring map changes until after the November election. This preserves the current boundaries for the general election on November 3, limiting opportunities for Republican gains in a district where Democratic performance has historically exceeded 70 percent. Traders reflect this stability through elevated implied probabilities for the Democratic outcome ahead of the vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$22,149Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party's strong position in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District stems from its status as a longstanding majority-Black seat held by incumbent Bennie Thompson since 1993. Thompson secured the Democratic nomination in March 2026 with over 86 percent of the primary vote, while Republican nominee Ron Eller emerged from a low-turnout contest. Recent developments have reinforced this outlook: Governor Tate Reeves canceled a planned special legislative session on congressional redistricting in mid-May 2026, deferring map changes until after the November election. This preserves the current boundaries for the general election on November 3, limiting opportunities for Republican gains in a district where Democratic performance has historically exceeded 70 percent. Traders reflect this stability through elevated implied probabilities for the Democratic outcome ahead of the vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$22,149Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party's strong position in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District stems from its status as a longstanding majority-Black seat held by incumbent Bennie Thompson since 1993. Thompson secured the Democratic nomination in March 2026 with over 86 percent of the primary vote, while Republican nominee Ron Eller emerged from a low-turnout contest. Recent developments have reinforced this outlook: Governor Tate Reeves canceled a planned special legislative session on congressional redistricting in mid-May 2026, deferring map changes until after the November election. This preserves the current boundaries for the general election on November 3, limiting opportunities for Republican gains in a district where Democratic performance has historically exceeded 70 percent. Traders reflect this stability through elevated implied probabilities for the Democratic outcome ahead of the vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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