Trump's December 2025 endorsement of Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, combined with U.S. Representative Elise Stefanik's withdrawal from the race, has consolidated Republican support behind Blakeman ahead of the 2026 New York gubernatorial primary. State party leaders formally designated him the nominee at their February convention, leaving limited room for challengers such as Pat Hahn or Betsy McCaughey to gain traction. Traders have priced this outcome at 95 percent for Blakeman, reflecting the absence of viable alternatives and strong institutional backing. A late surge by an unannounced candidate, a major scandal, or an unforeseen shift in party rules could still reopen the contest before the primary concludes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБрюс Блэйкман 95%
Элис Стефаник 2.2%
Пэт Хан 2.2%
Бетси Маккой <1%
$90,583 Объем
$90,583 Объем
Брюс Блэйкман
95%
Элис Стефаник
2%
Пэт Хан
2%
Бетси Маккой
1%
Дэвид Талли
<1%
Брюс Блэйкман 95%
Элис Стефаник 2.2%
Пэт Хан 2.2%
Бетси Маккой <1%
$90,583 Объем
$90,583 Объем
Брюс Блэйкман
95%
Элис Стефаник
2%
Пэт Хан
2%
Бетси Маккой
1%
Дэвид Талли
<1%
If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 4, 2025, 5:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trump's December 2025 endorsement of Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, combined with U.S. Representative Elise Stefanik's withdrawal from the race, has consolidated Republican support behind Blakeman ahead of the 2026 New York gubernatorial primary. State party leaders formally designated him the nominee at their February convention, leaving limited room for challengers such as Pat Hahn or Betsy McCaughey to gain traction. Traders have priced this outcome at 95 percent for Blakeman, reflecting the absence of viable alternatives and strong institutional backing. A late surge by an unannounced candidate, a major scandal, or an unforeseen shift in party rules could still reopen the contest before the primary concludes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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