North Korea has conducted two short-range ballistic missile launches from the Wonsan area in August 2026, on the 6th and 12th, as part of its pattern of weapons testing activity amid regional tensions. These tests align with Pyongyang’s routine responses to scheduled U.S.-South Korea joint military drills, including the Ulchi Freedom Shield exercises viewed in the North as provocative rehearsals. With roughly two weeks remaining in the month and no further launches reported since August 12, trader consensus favoring three or more tests reflects historical precedents where allied training schedules have prompted additional signaling through ballistic missile activity before month-end. The market’s implied probabilities incorporate this established deterrence dynamic and remaining timeline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКоличество ракетных испытаний Северной Кореи в августе 2026 года?
Количество ракетных испытаний Северной Кореи в августе 2026 года?
$65,437 Объем
$65,437 Объем
31 авг. 2026 г.
2
35%
3+
65%
$65,437 Объем
$65,437 Объем
31 авг. 2026 г.
2
$12,263 Объем
35%
3+
$18,261 Объем
65%
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea has conducted two short-range ballistic missile launches from the Wonsan area in August 2026, on the 6th and 12th, as part of its pattern of weapons testing activity amid regional tensions. These tests align with Pyongyang’s routine responses to scheduled U.S.-South Korea joint military drills, including the Ulchi Freedom Shield exercises viewed in the North as provocative rehearsals. With roughly two weeks remaining in the month and no further launches reported since August 12, trader consensus favoring three or more tests reflects historical precedents where allied training schedules have prompted additional signaling through ballistic missile activity before month-end. The market’s implied probabilities incorporate this established deterrence dynamic and remaining timeline.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Открытие рынка: Jul 31, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Объем
$65,437Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea has conducted two short-range ballistic missile launches from the Wonsan area in August 2026, on the 6th and 12th, as part of its pattern of weapons testing activity amid regional tensions. These tests align with Pyongyang’s routine responses to scheduled U.S.-South Korea joint military drills, including the Ulchi Freedom Shield exercises viewed in the North as provocative rehearsals. With roughly two weeks remaining in the month and no further launches reported since August 12, trader consensus favoring three or more tests reflects historical precedents where allied training schedules have prompted additional signaling through ballistic missile activity before month-end. The market’s implied probabilities incorporate this established deterrence dynamic and remaining timeline.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during August 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Объем
$65,437Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...North Korea has conducted two short-range ballistic missile launches from the Wonsan area in August 2026, on the 6th and 12th, as part of its pattern of weapons testing activity amid regional tensions. These tests align with Pyongyang’s routine responses to scheduled U.S.-South Korea joint military drills, including the Ulchi Freedom Shield exercises viewed in the North as provocative rehearsals. With roughly two weeks remaining in the month and no further launches reported since August 12, trader consensus favoring three or more tests reflects historical precedents where allied training schedules have prompted additional signaling through ballistic missile activity before month-end. The market’s implied probabilities incorporate this established deterrence dynamic and remaining timeline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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