Keiko Fujimori secured the largest share in Peru’s fragmented April 12 first round, finishing with roughly 17 percent of the vote and establishing a margin exceeding five points over second-place finisher Roberto Sánchez in a field of more than thirty candidates. Her position reflects sustained support among conservative and Lima-based voters, combined with late-decider consolidation that polls had anticipated but the opposition failed to match. The extended official count, completed only in mid-May amid logistical delays and isolated fraud claims, ultimately validated this outcome without material shifts. While a successful legal challenge or unforeseen recount could theoretically narrow the gap, the scale of the lead and final tabulation leave little realistic scope for reversal under current electoral rules.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПервый тур президентских выборов в Перу: предел победы
Первый тур президентских выборов в Перу: предел победы
Кейко Фухимори 5%+ 99.6%
Другое <1%
Рафаэль Лопес Алиага 15%+ <1%
Рафаэль Лопес Алиага 10-15% <1%
$521,773 Объем
$521,773 Объем
12 апр. 2026 г.
Рафаэль Лопес Алиага 15%+
<1%
Рафаэль Лопес Алиага 10-15%
<1%
Рафаэль Лопес Алиага 5-10%
<1%
Рафаэль Лопес Алиага <5%
<1%
Альфонсо Лопес Чау 5%+
<1%
Альфонсо Лопес Чау <5%
<1%
Кейко Фухимори 5%+
100%
Кейко Фухимори <5%
<1%
Хорхе Ньето
<1%
Роберто Санчес Паломино
<1%
Вольфганг Грозо
<1%
Карлос Альварес
<1%
Другое
1%
Кейко Фухимори 5%+ 99.6%
Другое <1%
Рафаэль Лопес Алиага 15%+ <1%
Рафаэль Лопес Алиага 10-15% <1%
$521,773 Объем
$521,773 Объем
12 апр. 2026 г.
Рафаэль Лопес Алиага 15%+
$10,673 Объем
<1%
Рафаэль Лопес Алиага 10-15%
$12,077 Объем
<1%
Рафаэль Лопес Алиага 5-10%
$8,344 Объем
<1%
Рафаэль Лопес Алиага <5%
$20,070 Объем
<1%
Альфонсо Лопес Чау 5%+
$7,219 Объем
<1%
Альфонсо Лопес Чау <5%
$6,302 Объем
<1%
Кейко Фухимори 5%+
$162,138 Объем
100%
Кейко Фухимори <5%
$209,115 Объем
<1%
Хорхе Ньето
$16,948 Объем
<1%
Роберто Санчес Паломино
$20,796 Объем
<1%
Вольфганг Грозо
$4,675 Объем
<1%
Карлос Альварес
$6,118 Объем
<1%
Другое
$37,298 Объем
1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori secured the largest share in Peru’s fragmented April 12 first round, finishing with roughly 17 percent of the vote and establishing a margin exceeding five points over second-place finisher Roberto Sánchez in a field of more than thirty candidates. Her position reflects sustained support among conservative and Lima-based voters, combined with late-decider consolidation that polls had anticipated but the opposition failed to match. The extended official count, completed only in mid-May amid logistical delays and isolated fraud claims, ultimately validated this outcome without material shifts. While a successful legal challenge or unforeseen recount could theoretically narrow the gap, the scale of the lead and final tabulation leave little realistic scope for reversal under current electoral rules.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 2:02 PM ET
Объем
$521,773Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 23, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori secured the largest share in Peru’s fragmented April 12 first round, finishing with roughly 17 percent of the vote and establishing a margin exceeding five points over second-place finisher Roberto Sánchez in a field of more than thirty candidates. Her position reflects sustained support among conservative and Lima-based voters, combined with late-decider consolidation that polls had anticipated but the opposition failed to match. The extended official count, completed only in mid-May amid logistical delays and isolated fraud claims, ultimately validated this outcome without material shifts. While a successful legal challenge or unforeseen recount could theoretically narrow the gap, the scale of the lead and final tabulation leave little realistic scope for reversal under current electoral rules.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Объем
$521,773Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 23, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Keiko Fujimori secured the largest share in Peru’s fragmented April 12 first round, finishing with roughly 17 percent of the vote and establishing a margin exceeding five points over second-place finisher Roberto Sánchez in a field of more than thirty candidates. Her position reflects sustained support among conservative and Lima-based voters, combined with late-decider consolidation that polls had anticipated but the opposition failed to match. The extended official count, completed only in mid-May amid logistical delays and isolated fraud claims, ultimately validated this outcome without material shifts. While a successful legal challenge or unforeseen recount could theoretically narrow the gap, the scale of the lead and final tabulation leave little realistic scope for reversal under current electoral rules.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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