The high "No" probability reflects Pete Hegseth's established position within the Trump administration, with no major confirmation challenges, policy disputes, or resignation pressures emerging in recent months. Cabinet stability, ongoing Department of Defense priorities on military readiness and border security, and the absence of Senate holds or public calls for removal have reinforced trader expectations that he will remain through the June 30 resolution window. Historical patterns of defense secretaries serving full terms absent acute crises further align with current pricing. Late developments such as a sudden ethics investigation, significant legislative setback, or direct presidential decision could still shift the outcome before the deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$145,320 Объем
$145,320 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Да
$145,320 Объем
$145,320 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The high "No" probability reflects Pete Hegseth's established position within the Trump administration, with no major confirmation challenges, policy disputes, or resignation pressures emerging in recent months. Cabinet stability, ongoing Department of Defense priorities on military readiness and border security, and the absence of Senate holds or public calls for removal have reinforced trader expectations that he will remain through the June 30 resolution window. Historical patterns of defense secretaries serving full terms absent acute crises further align with current pricing. Late developments such as a sudden ethics investigation, significant legislative setback, or direct presidential decision could still shift the outcome before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Объем
$145,320Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The high "No" probability reflects Pete Hegseth's established position within the Trump administration, with no major confirmation challenges, policy disputes, or resignation pressures emerging in recent months. Cabinet stability, ongoing Department of Defense priorities on military readiness and border security, and the absence of Senate holds or public calls for removal have reinforced trader expectations that he will remain through the June 30 resolution window. Historical patterns of defense secretaries serving full terms absent acute crises further align with current pricing. Late developments such as a sudden ethics investigation, significant legislative setback, or direct presidential decision could still shift the outcome before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$145,320Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The high "No" probability reflects Pete Hegseth's established position within the Trump administration, with no major confirmation challenges, policy disputes, or resignation pressures emerging in recent months. Cabinet stability, ongoing Department of Defense priorities on military readiness and border security, and the absence of Senate holds or public calls for removal have reinforced trader expectations that he will remain through the June 30 resolution window. Historical patterns of defense secretaries serving full terms absent acute crises further align with current pricing. Late developments such as a sudden ethics investigation, significant legislative setback, or direct presidential decision could still shift the outcome before the deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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