United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 State Duma election market due to its institutional dominance, including control over electoral administration, media access, and candidate selection through primaries that favor party loyalists. Recent preparations include placing pro-war figures and veterans high on its federal list, alongside Dmitry Medvedev, to reinforce alignment with state priorities ahead of the September vote. The mixed electoral system—combining party lists and single-member districts—further advantages the incumbent through established regional networks and expanded constituencies in recently incorporated areas. While economic pressures and public fatigue with the ongoing conflict could theoretically boost opposition turnout or fragment support, the absence of viable challengers and ongoing constraints on independent campaigning limit realistic shifts before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЕдиная Россия (ЕР) 95.8%
Новые люди (НЛ) 2.0%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ) 1.0%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР) <1%
$1,356,699 Объем
$1,356,699 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
Единая Россия (ЕР)
96%
Новые люди (НЛ)
2%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)
1%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)
<1%
Справедливая Россия – За правду (СРЗП)
<1%
Родина
<1%
Гражданская платформа (ГП)
<1%
Единая Россия (ЕР) 95.8%
Новые люди (НЛ) 2.0%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ) 1.0%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР) <1%
$1,356,699 Объем
$1,356,699 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
Единая Россия (ЕР)
$522,960 Объем
96%
Новые люди (НЛ)
$81,105 Объем
2%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)
$105,017 Объем
1%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)
$79,857 Объем
<1%
Справедливая Россия – За правду (СРЗП)
$231,467 Объем
<1%
Родина
$222,887 Объем
<1%
Гражданская платформа (ГП)
$113,407 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 State Duma election market due to its institutional dominance, including control over electoral administration, media access, and candidate selection through primaries that favor party loyalists. Recent preparations include placing pro-war figures and veterans high on its federal list, alongside Dmitry Medvedev, to reinforce alignment with state priorities ahead of the September vote. The mixed electoral system—combining party lists and single-member districts—further advantages the incumbent through established regional networks and expanded constituencies in recently incorporated areas. While economic pressures and public fatigue with the ongoing conflict could theoretically boost opposition turnout or fragment support, the absence of viable challengers and ongoing constraints on independent campaigning limit realistic shifts before election day.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Открытие рынка: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Объем
$1,356,699Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 State Duma election market due to its institutional dominance, including control over electoral administration, media access, and candidate selection through primaries that favor party loyalists. Recent preparations include placing pro-war figures and veterans high on its federal list, alongside Dmitry Medvedev, to reinforce alignment with state priorities ahead of the September vote. The mixed electoral system—combining party lists and single-member districts—further advantages the incumbent through established regional networks and expanded constituencies in recently incorporated areas. While economic pressures and public fatigue with the ongoing conflict could theoretically boost opposition turnout or fragment support, the absence of viable challengers and ongoing constraints on independent campaigning limit realistic shifts before election day.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Объем
$1,356,699Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 State Duma election market due to its institutional dominance, including control over electoral administration, media access, and candidate selection through primaries that favor party loyalists. Recent preparations include placing pro-war figures and veterans high on its federal list, alongside Dmitry Medvedev, to reinforce alignment with state priorities ahead of the September vote. The mixed electoral system—combining party lists and single-member districts—further advantages the incumbent through established regional networks and expanded constituencies in recently incorporated areas. While economic pressures and public fatigue with the ongoing conflict could theoretically boost opposition turnout or fragment support, the absence of viable challengers and ongoing constraints on independent campaigning limit realistic shifts before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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