United Russia's commanding position in the 2026 State Duma elections stems from its status as the ruling party with extensive institutional advantages, including control over candidate registration, media access, and single-member district outcomes across Russia. Preparations announced in early 2026, such as electronic primaries and inclusion of special military operation veterans on party lists, reinforce its organizational edge ahead of the September 18-20 vote. Other registered parties like the Communist Party of the Russian Federation and New People face structural barriers that limit their ability to challenge the incumbent effectively. While current polling shows United Russia support in the mid-30s to low-40s range, the broader electoral framework sustains its expected dominance. Scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes include unforeseen economic disruptions, significant leadership changes, or late diplomatic developments altering public priorities before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЕдиная Россия (ЕР) 96.0%
Новые люди (НЛ) 2.3%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ) 1.0%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР) <1%
$1,353,693 Объем
$1,353,693 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
Единая Россия (ЕР)
96%
Новые люди (НЛ)
2%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)
1%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)
<1%
Справедливая Россия – За правду (СРЗП)
<1%
Родина
<1%
Гражданская платформа (ГП)
<1%
Единая Россия (ЕР) 96.0%
Новые люди (НЛ) 2.3%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ) 1.0%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР) <1%
$1,353,693 Объем
$1,353,693 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
Единая Россия (ЕР)
$522,508 Объем
96%
Новые люди (НЛ)
$80,975 Объем
2%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)
$104,887 Объем
1%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)
$79,727 Объем
<1%
Справедливая Россия – За правду (СРЗП)
$229,562 Объем
<1%
Родина
$222,757 Объем
<1%
Гражданская платформа (ГП)
$113,277 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia's commanding position in the 2026 State Duma elections stems from its status as the ruling party with extensive institutional advantages, including control over candidate registration, media access, and single-member district outcomes across Russia. Preparations announced in early 2026, such as electronic primaries and inclusion of special military operation veterans on party lists, reinforce its organizational edge ahead of the September 18-20 vote. Other registered parties like the Communist Party of the Russian Federation and New People face structural barriers that limit their ability to challenge the incumbent effectively. While current polling shows United Russia support in the mid-30s to low-40s range, the broader electoral framework sustains its expected dominance. Scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes include unforeseen economic disruptions, significant leadership changes, or late diplomatic developments altering public priorities before election day.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Открытие рынка: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Объем
$1,353,693Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia's commanding position in the 2026 State Duma elections stems from its status as the ruling party with extensive institutional advantages, including control over candidate registration, media access, and single-member district outcomes across Russia. Preparations announced in early 2026, such as electronic primaries and inclusion of special military operation veterans on party lists, reinforce its organizational edge ahead of the September 18-20 vote. Other registered parties like the Communist Party of the Russian Federation and New People face structural barriers that limit their ability to challenge the incumbent effectively. While current polling shows United Russia support in the mid-30s to low-40s range, the broader electoral framework sustains its expected dominance. Scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes include unforeseen economic disruptions, significant leadership changes, or late diplomatic developments altering public priorities before election day.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Объем
$1,353,693Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia's commanding position in the 2026 State Duma elections stems from its status as the ruling party with extensive institutional advantages, including control over candidate registration, media access, and single-member district outcomes across Russia. Preparations announced in early 2026, such as electronic primaries and inclusion of special military operation veterans on party lists, reinforce its organizational edge ahead of the September 18-20 vote. Other registered parties like the Communist Party of the Russian Federation and New People face structural barriers that limit their ability to challenge the incumbent effectively. While current polling shows United Russia support in the mid-30s to low-40s range, the broader electoral framework sustains its expected dominance. Scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes include unforeseen economic disruptions, significant leadership changes, or late diplomatic developments altering public priorities before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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