Ongoing military exchanges, including Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian targets and Russian missile barrages on Ukrainian cities and infrastructure in August 2026, have reinforced the deadlock in direct diplomacy. Earlier 2026 trilateral envoy meetings in Abu Dhabi and Geneva produced no breakthroughs on core issues such as territorial control, security guarantees, or ceasefire terms, with Russia maintaining preconditions tied to prior Istanbul framework positions and Ukraine emphasizing sovereignty and European alignment. Zelenskyy’s June proposals for bilateral leader talks received no positive response, while recent US-Russian foreign minister contacts on the sidelines of multilateral forums have not yielded bilateral Russia-Ukraine sessions. Persistent battlefield dynamics and unresolved demands continue to limit near-term prospects for any formal diplomatic meeting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоRussia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
$518,530 Объем
August 31
10%
30 сентября
23%
31 декабря
65%
$518,530 Объем
August 31
10%
30 сентября
23%
31 декабря
65%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jul 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Ongoing military exchanges, including Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian targets and Russian missile barrages on Ukrainian cities and infrastructure in August 2026, have reinforced the deadlock in direct diplomacy. Earlier 2026 trilateral envoy meetings in Abu Dhabi and Geneva produced no breakthroughs on core issues such as territorial control, security guarantees, or ceasefire terms, with Russia maintaining preconditions tied to prior Istanbul framework positions and Ukraine emphasizing sovereignty and European alignment. Zelenskyy’s June proposals for bilateral leader talks received no positive response, while recent US-Russian foreign minister contacts on the sidelines of multilateral forums have not yielded bilateral Russia-Ukraine sessions. Persistent battlefield dynamics and unresolved demands continue to limit near-term prospects for any formal diplomatic meeting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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