US-mediated trilateral talks between Russian, Ukrainian, and American officials in Abu Dhabi and Geneva earlier in 2026 produced prisoner exchanges but stalled over territorial issues, security guarantees, and alliance limits without direct bilateral Russia-Ukraine sessions. Formal negotiations have remained paused amid divergent demands, European coordination calls, and shifting US priorities including other regional conflicts. Recent Ukrainian proposals for renewed dialogue and European-backed ceasefire ideas have faced Russian rejection, including on Black Sea arrangements, while prisoner swap disputes continue. Trader assessments reflect these persistent gaps and the absence of scheduled leadership or envoy meetings through late August, tempered by potential mediation windows before seasonal pressures intensify.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоRussia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
$519,748 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
August 31
10%
30 сентября
22%
31 декабря
65%
$519,748 Объем
August 31
$188,147 Объем
10%
30 сентября
$16,138 Объем
22%
31 декабря
$1,540 Объем
65%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated trilateral talks between Russian, Ukrainian, and American officials in Abu Dhabi and Geneva earlier in 2026 produced prisoner exchanges but stalled over territorial issues, security guarantees, and alliance limits without direct bilateral Russia-Ukraine sessions. Formal negotiations have remained paused amid divergent demands, European coordination calls, and shifting US priorities including other regional conflicts. Recent Ukrainian proposals for renewed dialogue and European-backed ceasefire ideas have faced Russian rejection, including on Black Sea arrangements, while prisoner swap disputes continue. Trader assessments reflect these persistent gaps and the absence of scheduled leadership or envoy meetings through late August, tempered by potential mediation windows before seasonal pressures intensify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Aug 10, 2026, 11:14 AM ET
Объем
$519,748Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 10, 2026, 11:14 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated trilateral talks between Russian, Ukrainian, and American officials in Abu Dhabi and Geneva earlier in 2026 produced prisoner exchanges but stalled over territorial issues, security guarantees, and alliance limits without direct bilateral Russia-Ukraine sessions. Formal negotiations have remained paused amid divergent demands, European coordination calls, and shifting US priorities including other regional conflicts. Recent Ukrainian proposals for renewed dialogue and European-backed ceasefire ideas have faced Russian rejection, including on Black Sea arrangements, while prisoner swap disputes continue. Trader assessments reflect these persistent gaps and the absence of scheduled leadership or envoy meetings through late August, tempered by potential mediation windows before seasonal pressures intensify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$519,748Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 10, 2026, 11:14 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-mediated trilateral talks between Russian, Ukrainian, and American officials in Abu Dhabi and Geneva earlier in 2026 produced prisoner exchanges but stalled over territorial issues, security guarantees, and alliance limits without direct bilateral Russia-Ukraine sessions. Formal negotiations have remained paused amid divergent demands, European coordination calls, and shifting US priorities including other regional conflicts. Recent Ukrainian proposals for renewed dialogue and European-backed ceasefire ideas have faced Russian rejection, including on Black Sea arrangements, while prisoner swap disputes continue. Trader assessments reflect these persistent gaps and the absence of scheduled leadership or envoy meetings through late August, tempered by potential mediation windows before seasonal pressures intensify.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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