**Z.ai holds the strongest market-implied odds at 62% for third place on the arena.ai Text Arena Math lab leaderboard by end of September 2026, driven by its GLM-5.3-flash and GLM-5.3-max models currently ranking third overall behind Anthropic and Google.** Recent leaderboard snapshots from mid-September show Z.ai's models delivering competitive math reasoning scores in the 1511–1504 range, benefiting from efficient MIT-licensed architectures that close gaps with proprietary leaders on interactive text-to-text math tasks. Traders price in limited time for major shifts before month-end, with Chinese labs like Alibaba (qwen3.8-max) and Moonshot (kimi-k3-max) clustered near 50% or lower as they trail in the current lab ordering. Lower-probability outcomes for OpenAI, Meta, and others reflect their positions further down the math-specific rankings, while uncertainty around last-minute model updates or vote stabilization keeps some mid-tier names viable. The tight race underscores how rapid iteration in large language model math capabilities continues to reshape lab standings on this dynamic benchmark.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоТретья лучшая математическая ИИ-лаборатория текстовой арены в конце сентября?
Третья лучшая математическая ИИ-лаборатория текстовой арены в конце сентября?
Z.ai 62.1%
Alibaba 18%
Google 10%
Meta 5.8%
$66,592 Объем
$66,592 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
Z.ai
62%
Alibaba
18%
10%
Meta
6%
Moonshot
5%
OpenAI
4%
SpaceXAI
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Xiaomi
1%
MiniMax
1%
Anthropic
1%
Baidu
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Bytedance
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Z.ai 62.1%
Alibaba 18%
Google 10%
Meta 5.8%
$66,592 Объем
$66,592 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
Z.ai
$7,785 Объем
62%
Alibaba
$14,096 Объем
18%
$7,963 Объем
10%
Meta
$2,007 Объем
6%
Moonshot
$3,024 Объем
5%
OpenAI
$9,945 Объем
4%
SpaceXAI
$2,002 Объем
1%
DeepSeek
$1,545 Объем
1%
Xiaomi
$1,813 Объем
1%
MiniMax
$2,649 Объем
1%
Anthropic
$2,720 Объем
1%
Baidu
$2,642 Объем
<1%
Mistral
$1,569 Объем
<1%
Microsoft
$1,560 Объем
<1%
Nvidia
$743 Объем
<1%
Meituan
$756 Объем
<1%
Amazon
$575 Объем
<1%
Bytedance
$916 Объем
<1%
Tencent
$1,586 Объем
<1%
StepFun
$698 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Z.ai holds the strongest market-implied odds at 62% for third place on the arena.ai Text Arena Math lab leaderboard by end of September 2026, driven by its GLM-5.3-flash and GLM-5.3-max models currently ranking third overall behind Anthropic and Google.** Recent leaderboard snapshots from mid-September show Z.ai's models delivering competitive math reasoning scores in the 1511–1504 range, benefiting from efficient MIT-licensed architectures that close gaps with proprietary leaders on interactive text-to-text math tasks. Traders price in limited time for major shifts before month-end, with Chinese labs like Alibaba (qwen3.8-max) and Moonshot (kimi-k3-max) clustered near 50% or lower as they trail in the current lab ordering. Lower-probability outcomes for OpenAI, Meta, and others reflect their positions further down the math-specific rankings, while uncertainty around last-minute model updates or vote stabilization keeps some mid-tier names viable. The tight race underscores how rapid iteration in large language model math capabilities continues to reshape lab standings on this dynamic benchmark.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Открытие рынка: Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ET
Объем
$66,592Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Z.ai holds the strongest market-implied odds at 62% for third place on the arena.ai Text Arena Math lab leaderboard by end of September 2026, driven by its GLM-5.3-flash and GLM-5.3-max models currently ranking third overall behind Anthropic and Google.** Recent leaderboard snapshots from mid-September show Z.ai's models delivering competitive math reasoning scores in the 1511–1504 range, benefiting from efficient MIT-licensed architectures that close gaps with proprietary leaders on interactive text-to-text math tasks. Traders price in limited time for major shifts before month-end, with Chinese labs like Alibaba (qwen3.8-max) and Moonshot (kimi-k3-max) clustered near 50% or lower as they trail in the current lab ordering. Lower-probability outcomes for OpenAI, Meta, and others reflect their positions further down the math-specific rankings, while uncertainty around last-minute model updates or vote stabilization keeps some mid-tier names viable. The tight race underscores how rapid iteration in large language model math capabilities continues to reshape lab standings on this dynamic benchmark.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Объем
$66,592Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Z.ai holds the strongest market-implied odds at 62% for third place on the arena.ai Text Arena Math lab leaderboard by end of September 2026, driven by its GLM-5.3-flash and GLM-5.3-max models currently ranking third overall behind Anthropic and Google.** Recent leaderboard snapshots from mid-September show Z.ai's models delivering competitive math reasoning scores in the 1511–1504 range, benefiting from efficient MIT-licensed architectures that close gaps with proprietary leaders on interactive text-to-text math tasks. Traders price in limited time for major shifts before month-end, with Chinese labs like Alibaba (qwen3.8-max) and Moonshot (kimi-k3-max) clustered near 50% or lower as they trail in the current lab ordering. Lower-probability outcomes for OpenAI, Meta, and others reflect their positions further down the math-specific rankings, while uncertainty around last-minute model updates or vote stabilization keeps some mid-tier names viable. The tight race underscores how rapid iteration in large language model math capabilities continues to reshape lab standings on this dynamic benchmark.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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