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icon for Одобрение Трампа вверх или вниз на этой неделе?

Одобрение Трампа вверх или вниз на этой неделе?

icon for Одобрение Трампа вверх или вниз на этой неделе?

Одобрение Трампа вверх или вниз на этой неделе?

Up

50% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Up

50% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 7, 2026, than on July 31, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 31, 2026, than on August 7, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling shows President Trump's approval hovering near historic lows for his second term, pressured by sustained public disapproval of his Iran conflict handling and economic conditions. The ongoing war has produced divided reactions, with Republican support eroding while independents remain negative, creating week-to-week volatility sensitive to any diplomatic signals or economic data releases. Economic concerns over inflation and trade continue to weigh on sentiment, yet no single dominant catalyst has emerged in recent days to shift aggregates decisively. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with minor news flow or poll movements able to tip weekly direction either way depending on conflict developments or incoming indicators.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 7, 2026, than on July 31, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 31, 2026, than on August 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
7 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 7, 2026, than on July 31, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 31, 2026, than on August 7, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 7, 2026, than on July 31, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 31, 2026, than on August 7, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling shows President Trump's approval hovering near historic lows for his second term, pressured by sustained public disapproval of his Iran conflict handling and economic conditions. The ongoing war has produced divided reactions, with Republican support eroding while independents remain negative, creating week-to-week volatility sensitive to any diplomatic signals or economic data releases. Economic concerns over inflation and trade continue to weigh on sentiment, yet no single dominant catalyst has emerged in recent days to shift aggregates decisively. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with minor news flow or poll movements able to tip weekly direction either way depending on conflict developments or incoming indicators.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 7, 2026, than on July 31, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 31, 2026, than on August 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
7 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 7, 2026, than on July 31, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 31, 2026, than on August 7, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Одобрение Трампа вверх или вниз на этой неделе?» — это рынок прогнозов дневной на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на то, закончится ли цена Одобрение Трампа вверх или вниз на этой неделе? выше («Up») или ниже («Down») своей цены открытия в течение окна дневной, указанного в заголовке. Текущая вероятность рынка составляет 50% для «Up». Цена 50% означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 50%. Цены обновляются в реальном времени по мере реакции трейдеров на движение цены Одобрение Трампа вверх или вниз на этой неделе?. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Одобрение Трампа вверх или вниз на этой неделе?» — активный краткосрочный рынок на Polymarket. Объём торгов может быстро расти по мере продвижения окна дневной — входи раньше, чтобы помочь сформировать коэффициенты до закрытия этого окна.

Чтобы торговать на «Одобрение Трампа вверх или вниз на этой неделе?», реши, считаешь ли ты, что цена Одобрение Трампа вверх или вниз на этой неделе? в полдень ET August 7 будет выше («Up») или ниже («Down»), чем в полдень ET July 31. Купи «Up», если считаешь, что цена вырастет, или «Down», если считаешь, что упадёт. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой исход правильный, каждая акция принесёт $1,00. Если нет — акции будут стоить $0.

Текущая вероятность для «Одобрение Трампа вверх или вниз на этой неделе?» составляет 50% для «Up», что означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность того, что цена Одобрение Трампа вверх или вниз на этой неделе? закроется up в этом окне дневной, в 50%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере реакции трейдеров на данные о цене Одобрение Трампа вверх или вниз на этой неделе?. За целый день коэффициенты отражают развивающиеся настроения по мере развёртывания ценового движения дня. Заходи чаще или торгуй сейчас, пока окно не закрылось.

Рынок «Одобрение Трампа вверх или вниз на этой неделе?» разрешается на основе сравнения цены Одобрение Трампа вверх или вниз на этой неделе? в полдень ET August 7 с ценой в полдень ET July 31, используя цены закрытия минутных свечей Binance TRUMP-APPROVAL/USDT. Если цена в полдень August 7 выше — исход «Up»; если ниже — «Down»; если равна — рынок разрешается 50-50. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии в разделе «Правила».