California’s June 2 top-two primary features a crowded field in which the two highest vote-getters advance regardless of party. Recent Emerson polling shows former U.S. Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra pulling ahead among Democrats at 19 percent, narrowly ahead of Steve Hilton and Tom Steyer at 17 percent each, after a series of televised debates in April and May that highlighted differences on taxes, housing, and public safety. President Trump’s endorsement of Hilton has helped consolidate Republican support behind the former Fox News commentator and away from Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco, reducing the chance that two Republicans finish first and second. With mail ballots arriving in the coming days and roughly one-third of voters still undecided, late shifts in turnout among Democratic-leaning voters or further consolidation behind any single Republican could determine which two candidates reach the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$662,416 Объем
Стив Хилтон
72%
Ксавье Бесерра
68%
Том Стейер
54%
Мэтт Мэйан
6%
Чад Бьянко
4%
Элейн Кулотти
3%
Итан Агарвал
3%
Джимми Паркер
2%
Кэти Портер
2%
Дэвид Телен
2%
Даниэль Меркьюри
2%
Райан Тиллман
2%
Тандер Парли
2%
Ражи Раб
2%
Ники Минаж
2%
Бетти Йи
2%
Че Ан
2%
Иэн Кальдерон
1%
Эрик Суолуэлл
1%
Золтан Истван
1%
Антонио Вильярайгоса
1%
Каролина Бюлер
1%
Кайл Лэнгфорд
1%
Леонард Джексон
1%
Брэндон Джонс
1%
Бутч Вэр
1%
София Бринк
1%
Дерек Грасти
1%
Джейвен Аллен
7%
Дэвид Серпа
1%
Николас Томпсон
1%
Рэмси Робинсон
1%
Тони Турмонд
1%
Лео Заки
1%
Дилан Колберт
1%
Шарифа Харди
<1%
$662,416 Объем
Стив Хилтон
72%
Ксавье Бесерра
68%
Том Стейер
54%
Мэтт Мэйан
6%
Чад Бьянко
4%
Элейн Кулотти
3%
Итан Агарвал
3%
Джимми Паркер
2%
Кэти Портер
2%
Дэвид Телен
2%
Даниэль Меркьюри
2%
Райан Тиллман
2%
Тандер Парли
2%
Ражи Раб
2%
Ники Минаж
2%
Бетти Йи
2%
Че Ан
2%
Иэн Кальдерон
1%
Эрик Суолуэлл
1%
Золтан Истван
1%
Антонио Вильярайгоса
1%
Каролина Бюлер
1%
Кайл Лэнгфорд
1%
Леонард Джексон
1%
Брэндон Джонс
1%
Бутч Вэр
1%
София Бринк
1%
Дерек Грасти
1%
Джейвен Аллен
7%
Дэвид Серпа
1%
Николас Томпсон
1%
Рэмси Робинсон
1%
Тони Турмонд
1%
Лео Заки
1%
Дилан Колберт
1%
Шарифа Харди
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Открытие рынка: Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...California’s June 2 top-two primary features a crowded field in which the two highest vote-getters advance regardless of party. Recent Emerson polling shows former U.S. Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra pulling ahead among Democrats at 19 percent, narrowly ahead of Steve Hilton and Tom Steyer at 17 percent each, after a series of televised debates in April and May that highlighted differences on taxes, housing, and public safety. President Trump’s endorsement of Hilton has helped consolidate Republican support behind the former Fox News commentator and away from Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco, reducing the chance that two Republicans finish first and second. With mail ballots arriving in the coming days and roughly one-third of voters still undecided, late shifts in turnout among Democratic-leaning voters or further consolidation behind any single Republican could determine which two candidates reach the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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