The crowded field for California's June 2, 2026 top-two gubernatorial primary features a fragmented Democratic contest alongside two leading Republicans, shaping voter consolidation and advancement prospects. Eric Swalwell's recent withdrawal has boosted Xavier Becerra, who now leads or ties in multiple late polls including an Emerson College survey showing him at 19 percent, ahead of Steve Hilton at roughly 17 percent and Tom Steyer close behind. Hilton, endorsed by President Trump, and Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco continue splitting Republican support, while Katie Porter and other Democrats draw from the same base. Early voting is underway with additional candidate debates scheduled before election day, and the nonpartisan system means the top two finishers—regardless of party—advance to November. Recent polling volatility underscores how Democratic vote splitting could still allow both Republicans to reach the general election if turnout patterns hold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$662,438 Объем
Стив Хилтон
72%
Ксавье Бесерра
68%
Том Стейер
53%
Мэтт Мэйан
6%
Чад Бьянко
4%
Кайл Лэнгфорд
4%
Ражи Раб
3%
Джимми Паркер
3%
Кэти Портер
2%
Бетти Йи
2%
Тандер Парли
2%
Даниэль Меркьюри
2%
Дэвид Телен
2%
Че Ан
2%
Эрик Суолуэлл
2%
Ники Минаж
2%
Иэн Кальдерон
2%
Итан Агарвал
2%
Золтан Истван
1%
Антонио Вильярайгоса
1%
Брэндон Джонс
1%
Леонард Джексон
1%
Бутч Вэр
1%
Каролина Бюлер
1%
Райан Тиллман
1%
Элейн Кулотти
1%
Дерек Грасти
1%
София Бринк
1%
Джейвен Аллен
7%
Дэвид Серпа
1%
Рэмси Робинсон
1%
Николас Томпсон
1%
Тони Турмонд
1%
Лео Заки
1%
Дилан Колберт
1%
Шарифа Харди
<1%
$662,438 Объем
Стив Хилтон
72%
Ксавье Бесерра
68%
Том Стейер
53%
Мэтт Мэйан
6%
Чад Бьянко
4%
Кайл Лэнгфорд
4%
Ражи Раб
3%
Джимми Паркер
3%
Кэти Портер
2%
Бетти Йи
2%
Тандер Парли
2%
Даниэль Меркьюри
2%
Дэвид Телен
2%
Че Ан
2%
Эрик Суолуэлл
2%
Ники Минаж
2%
Иэн Кальдерон
2%
Итан Агарвал
2%
Золтан Истван
1%
Антонио Вильярайгоса
1%
Брэндон Джонс
1%
Леонард Джексон
1%
Бутч Вэр
1%
Каролина Бюлер
1%
Райан Тиллман
1%
Элейн Кулотти
1%
Дерек Грасти
1%
София Бринк
1%
Джейвен Аллен
7%
Дэвид Серпа
1%
Рэмси Робинсон
1%
Николас Томпсон
1%
Тони Турмонд
1%
Лео Заки
1%
Дилан Колберт
1%
Шарифа Харди
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Открытие рынка: Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The crowded field for California's June 2, 2026 top-two gubernatorial primary features a fragmented Democratic contest alongside two leading Republicans, shaping voter consolidation and advancement prospects. Eric Swalwell's recent withdrawal has boosted Xavier Becerra, who now leads or ties in multiple late polls including an Emerson College survey showing him at 19 percent, ahead of Steve Hilton at roughly 17 percent and Tom Steyer close behind. Hilton, endorsed by President Trump, and Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco continue splitting Republican support, while Katie Porter and other Democrats draw from the same base. Early voting is underway with additional candidate debates scheduled before election day, and the nonpartisan system means the top two finishers—regardless of party—advance to November. Recent polling volatility underscores how Democratic vote splitting could still allow both Republicans to reach the general election if turnout patterns hold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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