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Politics·Primaries

MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Matt Little 86%

Matt Klein 10%

Kaela Berg 4.8%

Polymarket

$34,038 Объем

Matt Little 86%

Matt Klein 10%

Kaela Berg 4.8%

Polymarket

$34,038 Объем

Matt Little

$21,948 Объем

86%

Matt Klein

$9,150 Объем

10%

Kaela Berg

$2,940 Объем

5%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Matt Little holds the clear lead in the MN-02 Democratic primary at 79.5% implied probability due to securing the DFL congressional district endorsement on the first ballot with 63% support at the May 2026 convention. This party backing, combined with his prior service as state senator and Lakeville mayor, has consolidated support ahead of the August 11 primary for the open seat vacated by Rep. Angie Craig. Matt Klein, a sitting state senator, trails at 13% amid competitive fundraising but limited organizational momentum, while state Rep. Kaela Berg remains at 4% with lower name recognition and resources. A May poll showed Little ahead at 41%, and earlier straw polls reinforced his edge; no major subsequent shifts have altered the trader consensus reflected in current pricing.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$34,038
Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Matt Little holds the clear lead in the MN-02 Democratic primary at 79.5% implied probability due to securing the DFL congressional district endorsement on the first ballot with 63% support at the May 2026 convention. This party backing, combined with his prior service as state senator and Lakeville mayor, has consolidated support ahead of the August 11 primary for the open seat vacated by Rep. Angie Craig. Matt Klein, a sitting state senator, trails at 13% amid competitive fundraising but limited organizational momentum, while state Rep. Kaela Berg remains at 4% with lower name recognition and resources. A May poll showed Little ahead at 41%, and earlier straw polls reinforced his edge; no major subsequent shifts have altered the trader consensus reflected in current pricing.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$34,038
Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 3 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Matt Little» с 86%, за ним следует «Matt Klein» с 10%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 86¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 86%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $34K с момента запуска рынка Dec 1, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner», просмотри 3 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Matt Little» с 86%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 86%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Matt Klein» с 10%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.