Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar secured the Minnesota DFL endorsement on May 11 at the 5th District convention, bolstering her frontrunner status ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary and reflecting trader consensus at 84% implied probability. This party backing, pivotal in Minnesota primaries for mobilizing resources and voter turnout, underscores Omar's organizational strength and fundraising dominance with over $1.5 million cash on hand as of late March. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DNC member and AFSCME union leader who announced in November 2025, holds 15.5% odds despite trailing significantly in funds; her bid persists post-endorsement loss, but no recent polls show competitive momentum. Absent major shifts like scandals or turnout surprises, Omar's incumbency and base in the heavily Democratic Minneapolis-area district sustain her lead.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель праймериз демократов MN-05
Победитель праймериз демократов MN-05
$24,306 Объем
$24,306 Объем
11 авг. 2026 г.
Ильхан Омар
84%
Латонья Ривз
16%
$24,306 Объем
$24,306 Объем
11 авг. 2026 г.
Ильхан Омар
$20,096 Объем
84%
Латонья Ривз
$4,210 Объем
16%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar secured the Minnesota DFL endorsement on May 11 at the 5th District convention, bolstering her frontrunner status ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary and reflecting trader consensus at 84% implied probability. This party backing, pivotal in Minnesota primaries for mobilizing resources and voter turnout, underscores Omar's organizational strength and fundraising dominance with over $1.5 million cash on hand as of late March. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DNC member and AFSCME union leader who announced in November 2025, holds 15.5% odds despite trailing significantly in funds; her bid persists post-endorsement loss, but no recent polls show competitive momentum. Absent major shifts like scandals or turnout surprises, Omar's incumbency and base in the heavily Democratic Minneapolis-area district sustain her lead.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
Объем
$24,306Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar secured the Minnesota DFL endorsement on May 11 at the 5th District convention, bolstering her frontrunner status ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary and reflecting trader consensus at 84% implied probability. This party backing, pivotal in Minnesota primaries for mobilizing resources and voter turnout, underscores Omar's organizational strength and fundraising dominance with over $1.5 million cash on hand as of late March. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DNC member and AFSCME union leader who announced in November 2025, holds 15.5% odds despite trailing significantly in funds; her bid persists post-endorsement loss, but no recent polls show competitive momentum. Absent major shifts like scandals or turnout surprises, Omar's incumbency and base in the heavily Democratic Minneapolis-area district sustain her lead.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$24,306Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar secured the Minnesota DFL endorsement on May 11 at the 5th District convention, bolstering her frontrunner status ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary and reflecting trader consensus at 84% implied probability. This party backing, pivotal in Minnesota primaries for mobilizing resources and voter turnout, underscores Omar's organizational strength and fundraising dominance with over $1.5 million cash on hand as of late March. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DNC member and AFSCME union leader who announced in November 2025, holds 15.5% odds despite trailing significantly in funds; her bid persists post-endorsement loss, but no recent polls show competitive momentum. Absent major shifts like scandals or turnout surprises, Omar's incumbency and base in the heavily Democratic Minneapolis-area district sustain her lead.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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