Incumbent Laura Gillen maintains a commanding position in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 4th congressional district, backed by over $2 million in fundraising and $1.5 million in cash on hand compared to under $30,000 for each challenger. Her January 2026 vote supporting Department of Homeland Security funding that included Immigration and Customs Enforcement appropriations prompted challenges from former Assembly member Taylor Darling and others including Nicholas Sciretta and Gian Jones, who positioned themselves as stronger progressive alternatives on immigration. However, the divided opposition field, Gillen’s endorsement from Nassau County Democratic leader Jay Jacobs, and the closed primary’s typically low turnout have solidified trader consensus around the incumbent’s structural advantages ahead of the vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЛора Гиллен 86%
Николас Скирэтта 11%
Тейлор Дарлинг 5.4%
Джиан Джонс <1%
$18,925 Объем
$18,925 Объем
Лора Гиллен
86%
Николас Скирэтта
11%
Тейлор Дарлинг
5%
Джиан Джонс
<1%
Лора Гиллен 86%
Николас Скирэтта 11%
Тейлор Дарлинг 5.4%
Джиан Джонс <1%
$18,925 Объем
$18,925 Объем
Лора Гиллен
86%
Николас Скирэтта
11%
Тейлор Дарлинг
5%
Джиан Джонс
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Dec 1, 2025, 3:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Laura Gillen maintains a commanding position in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 4th congressional district, backed by over $2 million in fundraising and $1.5 million in cash on hand compared to under $30,000 for each challenger. Her January 2026 vote supporting Department of Homeland Security funding that included Immigration and Customs Enforcement appropriations prompted challenges from former Assembly member Taylor Darling and others including Nicholas Sciretta and Gian Jones, who positioned themselves as stronger progressive alternatives on immigration. However, the divided opposition field, Gillen’s endorsement from Nassau County Democratic leader Jay Jacobs, and the closed primary’s typically low turnout have solidified trader consensus around the incumbent’s structural advantages ahead of the vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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