The tight contest in New York’s 12th Congressional District Democratic primary stems from the head-to-head positioning of state Assembly members Alex Bores and Micah Lasher following Rep. Jerry Nadler’s retirement. Bores has secured major labor endorsements and highlighted his AI regulation work, drawing both support and independent expenditures against him, while Lasher benefits from Nadler’s early backing, Governor Hochul’s endorsement, and recent success clearing a competing candidate from the ballot. High-name-recognition challengers such as Jack Schlossberg add visibility but have not consolidated support. Trader consensus at roughly 45 percent for Bores and 44.5 percent for Lasher reflects this balanced dynamic ahead of the June 23 primary, with further separation likely to hinge on turnout in Manhattan neighborhoods, additional union or party support, and the impact of outside spending in the final weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоАлекс Борес 45%
Майка Лашер 45%
Джек Шлоссберг 14%
Кэмерон Каски <1%
$363,225 Объем
$363,225 Объем
Алекс Борес
45%
Майка Лашер
45%
Джек Шлоссберг
14%
Кэмерон Каски
<1%
Кит Пауэрс
<1%
Лиз Крюгер
<1%
Эрик Боттчер
<1%
Кэролайн Мэлони
<1%
Брэд Хойлман-Сигал
<1%
Гейл Брюэр
<1%
Брэд Ландер
<1%
Лина Хан
<1%
Джули Менин
<1%
Челси Клинтон
<1%
Лиам Элкинд
<1%
Скотт Стрингер
<1%
Эндрю Куомо
<1%
Синтия Никсон
<1%
Джордж Конуэй
<1%
Алекс Борес 45%
Майка Лашер 45%
Джек Шлоссберг 14%
Кэмерон Каски <1%
$363,225 Объем
$363,225 Объем
Алекс Борес
45%
Майка Лашер
45%
Джек Шлоссберг
14%
Кэмерон Каски
<1%
Кит Пауэрс
<1%
Лиз Крюгер
<1%
Эрик Боттчер
<1%
Кэролайн Мэлони
<1%
Брэд Хойлман-Сигал
<1%
Гейл Брюэр
<1%
Брэд Ландер
<1%
Лина Хан
<1%
Джули Менин
<1%
Челси Клинтон
<1%
Лиам Элкинд
<1%
Скотт Стрингер
<1%
Эндрю Куомо
<1%
Синтия Никсон
<1%
Джордж Конуэй
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tight contest in New York’s 12th Congressional District Democratic primary stems from the head-to-head positioning of state Assembly members Alex Bores and Micah Lasher following Rep. Jerry Nadler’s retirement. Bores has secured major labor endorsements and highlighted his AI regulation work, drawing both support and independent expenditures against him, while Lasher benefits from Nadler’s early backing, Governor Hochul’s endorsement, and recent success clearing a competing candidate from the ballot. High-name-recognition challengers such as Jack Schlossberg add visibility but have not consolidated support. Trader consensus at roughly 45 percent for Bores and 44.5 percent for Lasher reflects this balanced dynamic ahead of the June 23 primary, with further separation likely to hinge on turnout in Manhattan neighborhoods, additional union or party support, and the impact of outside spending in the final weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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