State Sen. Scott Wiener holds a commanding lead in the June 2 top-two primary for California's 11th District, an open seat created by Nancy Pelosi's retirement after nearly four decades. Recent polling and the California Democratic Party endorsement have consolidated support for the moderate state legislator among diverse voter groups, including in San Francisco's Chinese American community, while his record on healthcare costs and progressive legislation has broadened his appeal. Challengers Saikat Chakrabarti, a former Justice Democrats co-founder who has self-funded his campaign, and Supervisor Connie Chan, backed by labor unions and the Working Families Party, remain distant in surveys and have not closed the gap despite targeted outreach. A realistic shift in this consensus would require a sharp late surge in turnout for one of the trailing candidates or an unforeseen development in the final two weeks that alters voter preferences before ballots are cast.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСкотт Винер 91%
Сайкат Чакраборти 8.1%
Конни Чан 1.1%
Коул Беттлс <1%
$358,645 Объем
$358,645 Объем
Скотт Винер
91%
Сайкат Чакраборти
8%
Конни Чан
1%
Коул Беттлс
<1%
Даррен Хелтон
<1%
Цзинчао Сюн
<1%
Дэвид Ганезер
<1%
Скотт Винер 91%
Сайкат Чакраборти 8.1%
Конни Чан 1.1%
Коул Беттлс <1%
$358,645 Объем
$358,645 Объем
Скотт Винер
91%
Сайкат Чакраборти
8%
Конни Чан
1%
Коул Беттлс
<1%
Даррен Хелтон
<1%
Цзинчао Сюн
<1%
Дэвид Ганезер
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Nov 24, 2025, 3:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...State Sen. Scott Wiener holds a commanding lead in the June 2 top-two primary for California's 11th District, an open seat created by Nancy Pelosi's retirement after nearly four decades. Recent polling and the California Democratic Party endorsement have consolidated support for the moderate state legislator among diverse voter groups, including in San Francisco's Chinese American community, while his record on healthcare costs and progressive legislation has broadened his appeal. Challengers Saikat Chakrabarti, a former Justice Democrats co-founder who has self-funded his campaign, and Supervisor Connie Chan, backed by labor unions and the Working Families Party, remain distant in surveys and have not closed the gap despite targeted outreach. A realistic shift in this consensus would require a sharp late surge in turnout for one of the trailing candidates or an unforeseen development in the final two weeks that alters voter preferences before ballots are cast.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы