Diplomatic tensions between Israel and several nations persist amid the Gaza conflict and related flotilla incidents, yet no expulsions of Israeli ambassadors have occurred since early 2026. In May, the UK, France, Canada, and Poland summoned Israeli diplomats over the deportation of foreign activists, signaling disapproval without severing ties. Iran's March offer of Strait of Hormuz access to countries expelling Israeli or U.S. envoys produced no follow-through actions. Traders assign a 65.5% probability to no expulsions by year-end, reflecting the preference for recalls, summons, or reciprocal measures over outright expulsions, consistent with patterns where such steps risk bilateral retaliation and lack broad international momentum in the current period.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
$36,881 Объем
$36,881 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
$36,881 Объем
$36,881 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Diplomatic tensions between Israel and several nations persist amid the Gaza conflict and related flotilla incidents, yet no expulsions of Israeli ambassadors have occurred since early 2026. In May, the UK, France, Canada, and Poland summoned Israeli diplomats over the deportation of foreign activists, signaling disapproval without severing ties. Iran's March offer of Strait of Hormuz access to countries expelling Israeli or U.S. envoys produced no follow-through actions. Traders assign a 65.5% probability to no expulsions by year-end, reflecting the preference for recalls, summons, or reciprocal measures over outright expulsions, consistent with patterns where such steps risk bilateral retaliation and lack broad international momentum in the current period.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Объем
$36,881Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Diplomatic tensions between Israel and several nations persist amid the Gaza conflict and related flotilla incidents, yet no expulsions of Israeli ambassadors have occurred since early 2026. In May, the UK, France, Canada, and Poland summoned Israeli diplomats over the deportation of foreign activists, signaling disapproval without severing ties. Iran's March offer of Strait of Hormuz access to countries expelling Israeli or U.S. envoys produced no follow-through actions. Traders assign a 65.5% probability to no expulsions by year-end, reflecting the preference for recalls, summons, or reciprocal measures over outright expulsions, consistent with patterns where such steps risk bilateral retaliation and lack broad international momentum in the current period.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$36,881Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic tensions between Israel and several nations persist amid the Gaza conflict and related flotilla incidents, yet no expulsions of Israeli ambassadors have occurred since early 2026. In May, the UK, France, Canada, and Poland summoned Israeli diplomats over the deportation of foreign activists, signaling disapproval without severing ties. Iran's March offer of Strait of Hormuz access to countries expelling Israeli or U.S. envoys produced no follow-through actions. Traders assign a 65.5% probability to no expulsions by year-end, reflecting the preference for recalls, summons, or reciprocal measures over outright expulsions, consistent with patterns where such steps risk bilateral retaliation and lack broad international momentum in the current period.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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