Recent geopolitical tensions stemming from the U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict have disrupted crude oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, driving the primary catalyst behind elevated U.S. gasoline prices. As of mid-May 2026, the national average for regular gasoline stands near $4.50 per gallon, up sharply from early-year levels and the highest since 2022, with crude oil contributing over 50 percent of the retail price. Refinery margins, falling inventories—now below seasonal norms at roughly 222 million barrels—and rising summer driving demand further support upward pressure. Traders are monitoring weekly EIA inventory reports and any de-escalation signals that could ease supply concerns ahead of the May 31 resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$140,515 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
↑ $5.00
14%
↑ $4.70
51%
↑ $4.60
67%
↓ $4.25
14%
↓ $4.20
10%
↓ $4.10
9%
↓ $4.00
5%
↓ $3.75
3%
↓ $3.50
2%
$140,515 Объем
↑ $5.00
$21,518 Объем
14%
↑ $4.70
$11,417 Объем
51%
↑ $4.60
$11,662 Объем
67%
↓ $4.25
$2,557 Объем
14%
↓ $4.20
$1,868 Объем
10%
↓ $4.10
$1,101 Объем
9%
↓ $4.00
$884 Объем
5%
↓ $3.75
$1,486 Объем
3%
↓ $3.50
$6,945 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Recent geopolitical tensions stemming from the U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict have disrupted crude oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, driving the primary catalyst behind elevated U.S. gasoline prices. As of mid-May 2026, the national average for regular gasoline stands near $4.50 per gallon, up sharply from early-year levels and the highest since 2022, with crude oil contributing over 50 percent of the retail price. Refinery margins, falling inventories—now below seasonal norms at roughly 222 million barrels—and rising summer driving demand further support upward pressure. Traders are monitoring weekly EIA inventory reports and any de-escalation signals that could ease supply concerns ahead of the May 31 resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Открытие рынка: Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
Объем
$140,515Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Recent geopolitical tensions stemming from the U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict have disrupted crude oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, driving the primary catalyst behind elevated U.S. gasoline prices. As of mid-May 2026, the national average for regular gasoline stands near $4.50 per gallon, up sharply from early-year levels and the highest since 2022, with crude oil contributing over 50 percent of the retail price. Refinery margins, falling inventories—now below seasonal norms at roughly 222 million barrels—and rising summer driving demand further support upward pressure. Traders are monitoring weekly EIA inventory reports and any de-escalation signals that could ease supply concerns ahead of the May 31 resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Объем
$140,515Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent geopolitical tensions stemming from the U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict have disrupted crude oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, driving the primary catalyst behind elevated U.S. gasoline prices. As of mid-May 2026, the national average for regular gasoline stands near $4.50 per gallon, up sharply from early-year levels and the highest since 2022, with crude oil contributing over 50 percent of the retail price. Refinery margins, falling inventories—now below seasonal norms at roughly 222 million barrels—and rising summer driving demand further support upward pressure. Traders are monitoring weekly EIA inventory reports and any de-escalation signals that could ease supply concerns ahead of the May 31 resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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