U.S. retail gasoline prices have climbed sharply to a national average of $4.53 per gallon as of mid-May 2026, up more than 50% since late February, driven primarily by supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz amid ongoing geopolitical tensions. Elevated crude benchmarks and tightening inventories have pushed pump prices higher ahead of peak summer driving demand, with analyst estimates for May averaging near $3.64 per gallon still well below current spot levels. Traders are monitoring weekly EIA storage reports and any signs of de-escalation that could ease forward supply concerns, while the flat futures curve signals limited near-term relief through month-end. This environment keeps market-implied odds elevated for thresholds above $4.60, reflecting real capital commitments to the prevailing supply-demand imbalance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$140,059 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
↑ $5.00
14%
↑ $4.70
52%
↑ $4.60
89%
↓ $4.25
14%
↓ $4.20
10%
↓ $4.10
9%
↓ $4.00
5%
↓ $3.75
3%
↓ $3.50
2%
$140,059 Объем
↑ $5.00
$21,513 Объем
14%
↑ $4.70
$11,417 Объем
52%
↑ $4.60
$11,515 Объем
89%
↓ $4.25
$2,557 Объем
14%
↓ $4.20
$1,868 Объем
10%
↓ $4.10
$796 Объем
9%
↓ $4.00
$884 Объем
5%
↓ $3.75
$1,486 Объем
3%
↓ $3.50
$6,945 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. retail gasoline prices have climbed sharply to a national average of $4.53 per gallon as of mid-May 2026, up more than 50% since late February, driven primarily by supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz amid ongoing geopolitical tensions. Elevated crude benchmarks and tightening inventories have pushed pump prices higher ahead of peak summer driving demand, with analyst estimates for May averaging near $3.64 per gallon still well below current spot levels. Traders are monitoring weekly EIA storage reports and any signs of de-escalation that could ease forward supply concerns, while the flat futures curve signals limited near-term relief through month-end. This environment keeps market-implied odds elevated for thresholds above $4.60, reflecting real capital commitments to the prevailing supply-demand imbalance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Открытие рынка: Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
Объем
$140,059Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. retail gasoline prices have climbed sharply to a national average of $4.53 per gallon as of mid-May 2026, up more than 50% since late February, driven primarily by supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz amid ongoing geopolitical tensions. Elevated crude benchmarks and tightening inventories have pushed pump prices higher ahead of peak summer driving demand, with analyst estimates for May averaging near $3.64 per gallon still well below current spot levels. Traders are monitoring weekly EIA storage reports and any signs of de-escalation that could ease forward supply concerns, while the flat futures curve signals limited near-term relief through month-end. This environment keeps market-implied odds elevated for thresholds above $4.60, reflecting real capital commitments to the prevailing supply-demand imbalance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Объем
$140,059Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. retail gasoline prices have climbed sharply to a national average of $4.53 per gallon as of mid-May 2026, up more than 50% since late February, driven primarily by supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz amid ongoing geopolitical tensions. Elevated crude benchmarks and tightening inventories have pushed pump prices higher ahead of peak summer driving demand, with analyst estimates for May averaging near $3.64 per gallon still well below current spot levels. Traders are monitoring weekly EIA storage reports and any signs of de-escalation that could ease forward supply concerns, while the flat futures curve signals limited near-term relief through month-end. This environment keeps market-implied odds elevated for thresholds above $4.60, reflecting real capital commitments to the prevailing supply-demand imbalance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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