Iran’s constitution schedules the next presidential election for 2028 following Masoud Pezeshkian’s 2024 victory, with no vacancy or constitutional trigger currently in place for an earlier vote. Recent reporting from September 2026 indicates Iranian officials are considering aligning the presidential contest with parliamentary elections in May 2028, which would reinforce the standard four-year cycle rather than accelerate it. The 2026 transition in supreme leadership after Ali Khamenei’s death has focused institutional attention on Assembly of Experts processes and successor selection, without prompting presidential snap elections. Trader consensus reflects these structural timelines and the absence of political crises or vacancies that historically drove early votes, such as the 2024 snap election after Ebrahim Raisi’s death. Key upcoming factors include any signals on election alignment or unexpected leadership developments that could alter the 2028 framework.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПроведет ли Иран президентские выборы...?
Проведет ли Иран президентские выборы...?
$767,427 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
31 декабря
8%
$767,427 Объем
31 декабря
$213 Объем
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran’s constitution schedules the next presidential election for 2028 following Masoud Pezeshkian’s 2024 victory, with no vacancy or constitutional trigger currently in place for an earlier vote. Recent reporting from September 2026 indicates Iranian officials are considering aligning the presidential contest with parliamentary elections in May 2028, which would reinforce the standard four-year cycle rather than accelerate it. The 2026 transition in supreme leadership after Ali Khamenei’s death has focused institutional attention on Assembly of Experts processes and successor selection, without prompting presidential snap elections. Trader consensus reflects these structural timelines and the absence of political crises or vacancies that historically drove early votes, such as the 2024 snap election after Ebrahim Raisi’s death. Key upcoming factors include any signals on election alignment or unexpected leadership developments that could alter the 2028 framework.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Объем
$767,427Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran’s constitution schedules the next presidential election for 2028 following Masoud Pezeshkian’s 2024 victory, with no vacancy or constitutional trigger currently in place for an earlier vote. Recent reporting from September 2026 indicates Iranian officials are considering aligning the presidential contest with parliamentary elections in May 2028, which would reinforce the standard four-year cycle rather than accelerate it. The 2026 transition in supreme leadership after Ali Khamenei’s death has focused institutional attention on Assembly of Experts processes and successor selection, without prompting presidential snap elections. Trader consensus reflects these structural timelines and the absence of political crises or vacancies that historically drove early votes, such as the 2024 snap election after Ebrahim Raisi’s death. Key upcoming factors include any signals on election alignment or unexpected leadership developments that could alter the 2028 framework.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$767,427Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 7:27 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Iran’s constitution schedules the next presidential election for 2028 following Masoud Pezeshkian’s 2024 victory, with no vacancy or constitutional trigger currently in place for an earlier vote. Recent reporting from September 2026 indicates Iranian officials are considering aligning the presidential contest with parliamentary elections in May 2028, which would reinforce the standard four-year cycle rather than accelerate it. The 2026 transition in supreme leadership after Ali Khamenei’s death has focused institutional attention on Assembly of Experts processes and successor selection, without prompting presidential snap elections. Trader consensus reflects these structural timelines and the absence of political crises or vacancies that historically drove early votes, such as the 2024 snap election after Ebrahim Raisi’s death. Key upcoming factors include any signals on election alignment or unexpected leadership developments that could alter the 2028 framework.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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