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icon for Джеймс Фишбэк уступит...?

Джеймс Фишбэк уступит...?

icon for Джеймс Фишбэк уступит...?

Джеймс Фишбэк уступит...?

$802 Объем

18 авг. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$802 Объем

Polymarket

18 августа

$109 Объем

Да

19 августа

$490 Объем

Да

20 августа

$203 Объем

Да

This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe. Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback. Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination in Florida’s August 18, 2026 gubernatorial primary, finishing well ahead of James Fishback and the other contenders. Fishback, a first-time candidate who had faced a residency challenge earlier in the summer and positioned himself as an outsider appealing to younger conservative voters, issued a post-election statement acknowledging the result while framing his broader agenda. Primary vote tallies and the frontrunner’s margin shaped trader views on the timing of any formal concession. Resolution hinges on whether Fishback’s public remarks meet the market’s precise definition of concession by the cutoff date, with any subsequent statements or campaign actions serving as the key variables before final certification.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.

Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.

Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.

The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
Объем
$802
Дата окончания
20 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe. Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.

Предложенный исход: Да

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Да

This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe. Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback. Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination in Florida’s August 18, 2026 gubernatorial primary, finishing well ahead of James Fishback and the other contenders. Fishback, a first-time candidate who had faced a residency challenge earlier in the summer and positioned himself as an outsider appealing to younger conservative voters, issued a post-election statement acknowledging the result while framing his broader agenda. Primary vote tallies and the frontrunner’s margin shaped trader views on the timing of any formal concession. Resolution hinges on whether Fishback’s public remarks meet the market’s precise definition of concession by the cutoff date, with any subsequent statements or campaign actions serving as the key variables before final certification.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.

Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.

Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.

The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
Объем
$802
Дата окончания
20 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe. Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.

Предложенный исход: Да

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Да

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Джеймс Фишбэк уступит...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 3 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «18 августа» с 100%, за ним следует «19 августа» с 100%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Джеймс Фишбэк уступит...?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 18, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Джеймс Фишбэк уступит...?», просмотри 3 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Джеймс Фишбэк уступит...?» — «18 августа» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «19 августа» с 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Джеймс Фишбэк уступит...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.