Recent Democratic lawmakers' push for articles of impeachment, triggered by President Trump's April 2026 statements threatening Iran, has elevated the likelihood of House action if control shifts in the November midterms. More than seventy Democrats have introduced or backed resolutions citing high crimes and misdemeanors, building on earlier filings in the 119th Congress. Traders assign the 64 percent Yes probability primarily to the slim Republican House majority and historical midterm patterns favoring the opposition party, which could deliver the votes needed for passage before January 2029. A Senate conviction remains improbable under current alignments, yet the market prices the lower bar of House approval as attainable amid ongoing partisan tensions and polling showing majority voter support for removal proceedings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБудет ли Трамп подвергнут импичменту до истечения срока его полномочий?
Будет ли Трамп подвергнут импичменту до истечения срока его полномочий?
Да
$62,328 Объем
$62,328 Объем
20 янв. 2029 г.
Да
$62,328 Объем
$62,328 Объем
20 янв. 2029 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Recent Democratic lawmakers' push for articles of impeachment, triggered by President Trump's April 2026 statements threatening Iran, has elevated the likelihood of House action if control shifts in the November midterms. More than seventy Democrats have introduced or backed resolutions citing high crimes and misdemeanors, building on earlier filings in the 119th Congress. Traders assign the 64 percent Yes probability primarily to the slim Republican House majority and historical midterm patterns favoring the opposition party, which could deliver the votes needed for passage before January 2029. A Senate conviction remains improbable under current alignments, yet the market prices the lower bar of House approval as attainable amid ongoing partisan tensions and polling showing majority voter support for removal proceedings.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Объем
$62,328Дата окончания
20 янв. 2029 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Recent Democratic lawmakers' push for articles of impeachment, triggered by President Trump's April 2026 statements threatening Iran, has elevated the likelihood of House action if control shifts in the November midterms. More than seventy Democrats have introduced or backed resolutions citing high crimes and misdemeanors, building on earlier filings in the 119th Congress. Traders assign the 64 percent Yes probability primarily to the slim Republican House majority and historical midterm patterns favoring the opposition party, which could deliver the votes needed for passage before January 2029. A Senate conviction remains improbable under current alignments, yet the market prices the lower bar of House approval as attainable amid ongoing partisan tensions and polling showing majority voter support for removal proceedings.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Объем
$62,328Дата окончания
20 янв. 2029 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Democratic lawmakers' push for articles of impeachment, triggered by President Trump's April 2026 statements threatening Iran, has elevated the likelihood of House action if control shifts in the November midterms. More than seventy Democrats have introduced or backed resolutions citing high crimes and misdemeanors, building on earlier filings in the 119th Congress. Traders assign the 64 percent Yes probability primarily to the slim Republican House majority and historical midterm patterns favoring the opposition party, which could deliver the votes needed for passage before January 2029. A Senate conviction remains improbable under current alignments, yet the market prices the lower bar of House approval as attainable amid ongoing partisan tensions and polling showing majority voter support for removal proceedings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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