President Donald Trump’s pattern of direct public commentary continues to shape trader assessments in markets tracking daily instances of insults. Recent statements include labeling a reporter “dumb” while defending White House construction projects and posting on Truth Social to criticize Democratic figures with pointed language tied to election integrity issues. These episodes, occurring amid ongoing diplomatic travel and domestic policy announcements, reinforce expectations that similar rhetoric will appear on forthcoming dates. Traders also monitor scheduled addresses and press interactions that historically coincide with unscripted remarks. Any shift in tone during upcoming public events or legislative updates could alter implied probabilities for specific resolution windows.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWill Trump publicly insult someone on...?
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
$510,543 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
May 18
97%
May 19
94%
May 20
93%
May 21
91%
May 22
93%
May 23
91%
May 24
90%
May 25
91%
May 26
91%
May 27
90%
May 28
91%
May 29
91%
May 30
91%
May 31
90%
$510,543 Объем
May 18
$8,560 Объем
97%
May 19
$2,413 Объем
94%
May 20
$1,952 Объем
93%
May 21
$847 Объем
91%
May 22
$1,145 Объем
93%
May 23
$159 Объем
91%
May 24
$497 Объем
90%
May 25
$626 Объем
91%
May 26
$735 Объем
91%
May 27
$1,035 Объем
90%
May 28
$523 Объем
91%
May 29
$387 Объем
91%
May 30
$97 Объем
91%
May 31
$399 Объем
90%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump’s pattern of direct public commentary continues to shape trader assessments in markets tracking daily instances of insults. Recent statements include labeling a reporter “dumb” while defending White House construction projects and posting on Truth Social to criticize Democratic figures with pointed language tied to election integrity issues. These episodes, occurring amid ongoing diplomatic travel and domestic policy announcements, reinforce expectations that similar rhetoric will appear on forthcoming dates. Traders also monitor scheduled addresses and press interactions that historically coincide with unscripted remarks. Any shift in tone during upcoming public events or legislative updates could alter implied probabilities for specific resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
Объем
$510,543Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump’s pattern of direct public commentary continues to shape trader assessments in markets tracking daily instances of insults. Recent statements include labeling a reporter “dumb” while defending White House construction projects and posting on Truth Social to criticize Democratic figures with pointed language tied to election integrity issues. These episodes, occurring amid ongoing diplomatic travel and domestic policy announcements, reinforce expectations that similar rhetoric will appear on forthcoming dates. Traders also monitor scheduled addresses and press interactions that historically coincide with unscripted remarks. Any shift in tone during upcoming public events or legislative updates could alter implied probabilities for specific resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$510,543Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump’s pattern of direct public commentary continues to shape trader assessments in markets tracking daily instances of insults. Recent statements include labeling a reporter “dumb” while defending White House construction projects and posting on Truth Social to criticize Democratic figures with pointed language tied to election integrity issues. These episodes, occurring amid ongoing diplomatic travel and domestic policy announcements, reinforce expectations that similar rhetoric will appear on forthcoming dates. Traders also monitor scheduled addresses and press interactions that historically coincide with unscripted remarks. Any shift in tone during upcoming public events or legislative updates could alter implied probabilities for specific resolution windows.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы