No magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquake has struck anywhere on Earth since the April 20 event off Japan’s Sanriku coast, according to the latest USGS catalog, leaving a roughly four-week quiet period that shapes trader focus on the timing of the next one. Globally these events average about 15–16 per year and cluster along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones, where tectonic plates converge and release stored strain through large slips on major faults. The USGS continuously monitors seismic networks and fault systems worldwide, but no reliable short-term precursors exist for magnitude 7+ quakes; activity can resume abruptly after lulls of weeks or months. With the year already recording five such events through mid-May and resolution thresholds tied to official magnitude and timing windows, any new USGS report of a qualifying event will immediately shift market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
$29,217 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
May 15
<1%
May 30
38%
$29,217 ปริมาณ
May 15
$6,793 ปริมาณ
<1%
May 30
$9,177 ปริมาณ
38%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.No magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquake has struck anywhere on Earth since the April 20 event off Japan’s Sanriku coast, according to the latest USGS catalog, leaving a roughly four-week quiet period that shapes trader focus on the timing of the next one. Globally these events average about 15–16 per year and cluster along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones, where tectonic plates converge and release stored strain through large slips on major faults. The USGS continuously monitors seismic networks and fault systems worldwide, but no reliable short-term precursors exist for magnitude 7+ quakes; activity can resume abruptly after lulls of weeks or months. With the year already recording five such events through mid-May and resolution thresholds tied to official magnitude and timing windows, any new USGS report of a qualifying event will immediately shift market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,217วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.No magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquake has struck anywhere on Earth since the April 20 event off Japan’s Sanriku coast, according to the latest USGS catalog, leaving a roughly four-week quiet period that shapes trader focus on the timing of the next one. Globally these events average about 15–16 per year and cluster along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones, where tectonic plates converge and release stored strain through large slips on major faults. The USGS continuously monitors seismic networks and fault systems worldwide, but no reliable short-term precursors exist for magnitude 7+ quakes; activity can resume abruptly after lulls of weeks or months. With the year already recording five such events through mid-May and resolution thresholds tied to official magnitude and timing windows, any new USGS report of a qualifying event will immediately shift market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,217วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...No magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquake has struck anywhere on Earth since the April 20 event off Japan’s Sanriku coast, according to the latest USGS catalog, leaving a roughly four-week quiet period that shapes trader focus on the timing of the next one. Globally these events average about 15–16 per year and cluster along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones, where tectonic plates converge and release stored strain through large slips on major faults. The USGS continuously monitors seismic networks and fault systems worldwide, but no reliable short-term precursors exist for magnitude 7+ quakes; activity can resume abruptly after lulls of weeks or months. With the year already recording five such events through mid-May and resolution thresholds tied to official magnitude and timing windows, any new USGS report of a qualifying event will immediately shift market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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