Recent China Meteorological Administration guidance places Chengdu’s May 17 high at 28 °C under mostly cloudy skies, anchoring the tight market clustering around 28–30 °C. The Sichuan Basin’s topography and high humidity can suppress daytime mixing, keeping peaks near seasonal norms of 26–29 °C, while afternoon convective cells or brief clearing may add 1–2 °C of localized heating. Ensemble models show modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures and cloud timing, producing comparable implied probabilities for the three leading brackets. Traders therefore assign the greatest weight to outcomes that fall within the official forecast envelope, with resolution hinging on the final Shuangliu station observation tomorrow.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 17?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 17?
28°C 21%
29°C 20%
30°C 20%
31°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
9%
28°C
21%
29°C
20%
30°C
20%
31°C
12%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
2%
28°C 21%
29°C 20%
30°C 20%
31°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
$1,020 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$658 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$451 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$1,040 ปริมาณ
4%
27°C
$921 ปริมาณ
9%
28°C
$1,135 ปริมาณ
21%
29°C
$1,157 ปริมาณ
20%
30°C
$307 ปริมาณ
20%
31°C
$429 ปริมาณ
12%
32°C
$464 ปริมาณ
5%
33°C or higher
$962 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent China Meteorological Administration guidance places Chengdu’s May 17 high at 28 °C under mostly cloudy skies, anchoring the tight market clustering around 28–30 °C. The Sichuan Basin’s topography and high humidity can suppress daytime mixing, keeping peaks near seasonal norms of 26–29 °C, while afternoon convective cells or brief clearing may add 1–2 °C of localized heating. Ensemble models show modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures and cloud timing, producing comparable implied probabilities for the three leading brackets. Traders therefore assign the greatest weight to outcomes that fall within the official forecast envelope, with resolution hinging on the final Shuangliu station observation tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,533วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent China Meteorological Administration guidance places Chengdu’s May 17 high at 28 °C under mostly cloudy skies, anchoring the tight market clustering around 28–30 °C. The Sichuan Basin’s topography and high humidity can suppress daytime mixing, keeping peaks near seasonal norms of 26–29 °C, while afternoon convective cells or brief clearing may add 1–2 °C of localized heating. Ensemble models show modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures and cloud timing, producing comparable implied probabilities for the three leading brackets. Traders therefore assign the greatest weight to outcomes that fall within the official forecast envelope, with resolution hinging on the final Shuangliu station observation tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,533วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUURecent China Meteorological Administration guidance places Chengdu’s May 17 high at 28 °C under mostly cloudy skies, anchoring the tight market clustering around 28–30 °C. The Sichuan Basin’s topography and high humidity can suppress daytime mixing, keeping peaks near seasonal norms of 26–29 °C, while afternoon convective cells or brief clearing may add 1–2 °C of localized heating. Ensemble models show modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures and cloud timing, producing comparable implied probabilities for the three leading brackets. Traders therefore assign the greatest weight to outcomes that fall within the official forecast envelope, with resolution hinging on the final Shuangliu station observation tomorrow.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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