The Bank of Russia's April 24 decision to lower its key rate by 50 basis points to 14.50% has anchored trader expectations for another easing move at the June 19 meeting, with the current 14.50% policy rate reflecting accumulated monetary tightness amid cooling inflation pressures. Year-over-year inflation has moderated toward 5.7-5.9% in recent readings, supported by ruble appreciation near 74 USD/RUB and easing inflation expectations, aligning with the central bank's baseline forecast for an average key rate of 14.0-14.5% in 2026 and a return to the 4% target by year-end. Persistent pro-inflationary risks from fiscal stimulus and external uncertainties underpin the modest 12.5% probability of no change, while any rate hike remains remote at 2.1%. May CPI data and Governor Nabiullina's communications will provide key signals ahead of the next policy decision.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBank of Russia decision in June?
Bank of Russia decision in June?
Decrease 86%
No Change 13%
Increase 2.1%
$50,676 ปริมาณ
$50,676 ปริมาณ
Jun 19, 2026
Decrease
86%
No Change
13%
Increase
2%
Decrease 86%
No Change 13%
Increase 2.1%
$50,676 ปริมาณ
$50,676 ปริมาณ
Jun 19, 2026
Decrease
$20,173 ปริมาณ
86%
No Change
$10,324 ปริมาณ
13%
Increase
$20,180 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Russia's April 24 decision to lower its key rate by 50 basis points to 14.50% has anchored trader expectations for another easing move at the June 19 meeting, with the current 14.50% policy rate reflecting accumulated monetary tightness amid cooling inflation pressures. Year-over-year inflation has moderated toward 5.7-5.9% in recent readings, supported by ruble appreciation near 74 USD/RUB and easing inflation expectations, aligning with the central bank's baseline forecast for an average key rate of 14.0-14.5% in 2026 and a return to the 4% target by year-end. Persistent pro-inflationary risks from fiscal stimulus and external uncertainties underpin the modest 12.5% probability of no change, while any rate hike remains remote at 2.1%. May CPI data and Governor Nabiullina's communications will provide key signals ahead of the next policy decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50,676วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Russia's April 24 decision to lower its key rate by 50 basis points to 14.50% has anchored trader expectations for another easing move at the June 19 meeting, with the current 14.50% policy rate reflecting accumulated monetary tightness amid cooling inflation pressures. Year-over-year inflation has moderated toward 5.7-5.9% in recent readings, supported by ruble appreciation near 74 USD/RUB and easing inflation expectations, aligning with the central bank's baseline forecast for an average key rate of 14.0-14.5% in 2026 and a return to the 4% target by year-end. Persistent pro-inflationary risks from fiscal stimulus and external uncertainties underpin the modest 12.5% probability of no change, while any rate hike remains remote at 2.1%. May CPI data and Governor Nabiullina's communications will provide key signals ahead of the next policy decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50,676วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Russia's April 24 decision to lower its key rate by 50 basis points to 14.50% has anchored trader expectations for another easing move at the June 19 meeting, with the current 14.50% policy rate reflecting accumulated monetary tightness amid cooling inflation pressures. Year-over-year inflation has moderated toward 5.7-5.9% in recent readings, supported by ruble appreciation near 74 USD/RUB and easing inflation expectations, aligning with the central bank's baseline forecast for an average key rate of 14.0-14.5% in 2026 and a return to the 4% target by year-end. Persistent pro-inflationary risks from fiscal stimulus and external uncertainties underpin the modest 12.5% probability of no change, while any rate hike remains remote at 2.1%. May CPI data and Governor Nabiullina's communications will provide key signals ahead of the next policy decision.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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