Recent launch of Claude Fable 5.1 on September 1 positions Anthropic’s newest flagship as the frontrunner for coding and knowledge-work benchmarks, driving its 25% market share alongside Opus 5 variants that together hold roughly 44%. Traders weigh Fable 5.1’s higher ceiling on agentic and long-horizon tasks against Opus 5’s comparable scores at half the price, lighter safeguards, and stronger results on several Frontier-Bench and GDPval evaluations. The 31% “Other” share reflects uncertainty over whether GPT-5.6, Gemini 3.5, or undisclosed internal models could claim the top spot by September 21. Key swing factors include any post-launch benchmark updates or capability demonstrations in the next two weeks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOther 26%
claude-fable-5.1-max 25%
claude-opus-5-high 22%
claude-opus-5-max 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 21, 2026
Other
26%
claude-fable-5.1-max
25%
claude-opus-5-high
22%
claude-opus-5-max
13%
claude-opus-4-6-high
5%
Other 26%
claude-fable-5.1-max 25%
claude-opus-5-high 22%
claude-opus-5-max 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 21, 2026
Other
$80 ปริมาณ
26%
claude-fable-5.1-max
$96 ปริมาณ
25%
claude-opus-5-high
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
claude-opus-5-max
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
claude-opus-4-6-high
$97 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent launch of Claude Fable 5.1 on September 1 positions Anthropic’s newest flagship as the frontrunner for coding and knowledge-work benchmarks, driving its 25% market share alongside Opus 5 variants that together hold roughly 44%. Traders weigh Fable 5.1’s higher ceiling on agentic and long-horizon tasks against Opus 5’s comparable scores at half the price, lighter safeguards, and stronger results on several Frontier-Bench and GDPval evaluations. The 31% “Other” share reflects uncertainty over whether GPT-5.6, Gemini 3.5, or undisclosed internal models could claim the top spot by September 21. Key swing factors include any post-launch benchmark updates or capability demonstrations in the next two weeks.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 3, 2026, 10:16 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$272วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 10:16 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent launch of Claude Fable 5.1 on September 1 positions Anthropic’s newest flagship as the frontrunner for coding and knowledge-work benchmarks, driving its 25% market share alongside Opus 5 variants that together hold roughly 44%. Traders weigh Fable 5.1’s higher ceiling on agentic and long-horizon tasks against Opus 5’s comparable scores at half the price, lighter safeguards, and stronger results on several Frontier-Bench and GDPval evaluations. The 31% “Other” share reflects uncertainty over whether GPT-5.6, Gemini 3.5, or undisclosed internal models could claim the top spot by September 21. Key swing factors include any post-launch benchmark updates or capability demonstrations in the next two weeks.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$272วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 10:16 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent launch of Claude Fable 5.1 on September 1 positions Anthropic’s newest flagship as the frontrunner for coding and knowledge-work benchmarks, driving its 25% market share alongside Opus 5 variants that together hold roughly 44%. Traders weigh Fable 5.1’s higher ceiling on agentic and long-horizon tasks against Opus 5’s comparable scores at half the price, lighter safeguards, and stronger results on several Frontier-Bench and GDPval evaluations. The 31% “Other” share reflects uncertainty over whether GPT-5.6, Gemini 3.5, or undisclosed internal models could claim the top spot by September 21. Key swing factors include any post-launch benchmark updates or capability demonstrations in the next two weeks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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