Hawaii's 1st congressional district, centered on Honolulu, maintains a strong Democratic lean with a Partisan Voter Index around D+13 and has not elected a Republican since the 1980s. Incumbent Ed Case secured the Democratic nomination in the August 8, 2026 primary with 60% of the vote, advancing to face Republican Adriel Lam in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan margins, Case's established record, and limited Republican infrastructure in the state. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors alongside the absence of recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. An upset would require a major unforeseen event such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unprecedented national partisan realignment capable of overcoming the district's baseline voting patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHI-01 House Election Winner
HI-01 House Election Winner
$35,259 ปริมาณ
$35,259 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
5%
$35,259 ปริมาณ
$35,259 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,953 ปริมาณ
96%
Republican Party
$20,305 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hawaii's 1st congressional district, centered on Honolulu, maintains a strong Democratic lean with a Partisan Voter Index around D+13 and has not elected a Republican since the 1980s. Incumbent Ed Case secured the Democratic nomination in the August 8, 2026 primary with 60% of the vote, advancing to face Republican Adriel Lam in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan margins, Case's established record, and limited Republican infrastructure in the state. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors alongside the absence of recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. An upset would require a major unforeseen event such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unprecedented national partisan realignment capable of overcoming the district's baseline voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,259วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hawaii's 1st congressional district, centered on Honolulu, maintains a strong Democratic lean with a Partisan Voter Index around D+13 and has not elected a Republican since the 1980s. Incumbent Ed Case secured the Democratic nomination in the August 8, 2026 primary with 60% of the vote, advancing to face Republican Adriel Lam in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan margins, Case's established record, and limited Republican infrastructure in the state. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors alongside the absence of recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. An upset would require a major unforeseen event such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unprecedented national partisan realignment capable of overcoming the district's baseline voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,259วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Hawaii's 1st congressional district, centered on Honolulu, maintains a strong Democratic lean with a Partisan Voter Index around D+13 and has not elected a Republican since the 1980s. Incumbent Ed Case secured the Democratic nomination in the August 8, 2026 primary with 60% of the vote, advancing to face Republican Adriel Lam in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent partisan margins, Case's established record, and limited Republican infrastructure in the state. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors alongside the absence of recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. An upset would require a major unforeseen event such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unprecedented national partisan realignment capable of overcoming the district's baseline voting patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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