Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daily maximum of 16°C in Buenos Aires on August 15 amid Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, with persistent cloud cover, light easterly winds, and a weak frontal boundary limiting solar heating. This aligns with climatological August highs of 15–17°C and ensemble model guidance showing low spread, producing the market’s near-certain 99.7% implied probability on 16°C. Recent observations confirm stable conditions with minimal deviation risk from regional numerical weather prediction runs. Only an unexpected late-day clearing or stronger cold-air advection could realistically shift the outcome outside this narrow range before final measurements are recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 15?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 15?
16°C 99.7%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$28,158 ปริมาณ
$28,158 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 99.7%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$28,158 ปริมาณ
$28,158 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
12°C or below
$271 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$1,789 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$1,292 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$5,269 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$10,839 ปริมาณ
100%
17°C
$5,015 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$2,285 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$707 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$452 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$192 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C or higher
$189 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daily maximum of 16°C in Buenos Aires on August 15 amid Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, with persistent cloud cover, light easterly winds, and a weak frontal boundary limiting solar heating. This aligns with climatological August highs of 15–17°C and ensemble model guidance showing low spread, producing the market’s near-certain 99.7% implied probability on 16°C. Recent observations confirm stable conditions with minimal deviation risk from regional numerical weather prediction runs. Only an unexpected late-day clearing or stronger cold-air advection could realistically shift the outcome outside this narrow range before final measurements are recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,158วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daily maximum of 16°C in Buenos Aires on August 15 amid Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, with persistent cloud cover, light easterly winds, and a weak frontal boundary limiting solar heating. This aligns with climatological August highs of 15–17°C and ensemble model guidance showing low spread, producing the market’s near-certain 99.7% implied probability on 16°C. Recent observations confirm stable conditions with minimal deviation risk from regional numerical weather prediction runs. Only an unexpected late-day clearing or stronger cold-air advection could realistically shift the outcome outside this narrow range before final measurements are recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,158วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a daily maximum of 16°C in Buenos Aires on August 15 amid Southern Hemisphere winter conditions, with persistent cloud cover, light easterly winds, and a weak frontal boundary limiting solar heating. This aligns with climatological August highs of 15–17°C and ensemble model guidance showing low spread, producing the market’s near-certain 99.7% implied probability on 16°C. Recent observations confirm stable conditions with minimal deviation risk from regional numerical weather prediction runs. Only an unexpected late-day clearing or stronger cold-air advection could realistically shift the outcome outside this narrow range before final measurements are recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย