Trader consensus has converged sharply on 20°C as Cape Town’s highest temperature for May 17, reflecting the latest runs from regional numerical weather prediction models that show a stable post-frontal high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies and light south-easterly flow. This setup limits daytime heating over the Cape Peninsula, consistent with typical May climatology where average daily maxima range 18–21 °C at official stations such as the South African Weather Service site at Cape Town International. Surface observations through the morning already align with these projections, reinforcing the narrow uncertainty band around 20 °C. The only realistic shifts would require an unforecasted warm-air advection event or a significant revision in the final 24-hour maximum reported by the primary recording station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 17?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 17?
20°C 99.8%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
$19,672 ปริมาณ
$19,672 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 99.8%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
$19,672 ปริมาณ
$19,672 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
$534 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$787 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$1,520 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$2,021 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$2,433 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$3,203 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$2,878 ปริมาณ
100%
21°C
$2,018 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$1,617 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$1,737 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C or higher
$924 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has converged sharply on 20°C as Cape Town’s highest temperature for May 17, reflecting the latest runs from regional numerical weather prediction models that show a stable post-frontal high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies and light south-easterly flow. This setup limits daytime heating over the Cape Peninsula, consistent with typical May climatology where average daily maxima range 18–21 °C at official stations such as the South African Weather Service site at Cape Town International. Surface observations through the morning already align with these projections, reinforcing the narrow uncertainty band around 20 °C. The only realistic shifts would require an unforecasted warm-air advection event or a significant revision in the final 24-hour maximum reported by the primary recording station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,672วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has converged sharply on 20°C as Cape Town’s highest temperature for May 17, reflecting the latest runs from regional numerical weather prediction models that show a stable post-frontal high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies and light south-easterly flow. This setup limits daytime heating over the Cape Peninsula, consistent with typical May climatology where average daily maxima range 18–21 °C at official stations such as the South African Weather Service site at Cape Town International. Surface observations through the morning already align with these projections, reinforcing the narrow uncertainty band around 20 °C. The only realistic shifts would require an unforecasted warm-air advection event or a significant revision in the final 24-hour maximum reported by the primary recording station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,672วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTTrader consensus has converged sharply on 20°C as Cape Town’s highest temperature for May 17, reflecting the latest runs from regional numerical weather prediction models that show a stable post-frontal high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies and light south-easterly flow. This setup limits daytime heating over the Cape Peninsula, consistent with typical May climatology where average daily maxima range 18–21 °C at official stations such as the South African Weather Service site at Cape Town International. Surface observations through the morning already align with these projections, reinforcing the narrow uncertainty band around 20 °C. The only realistic shifts would require an unforecasted warm-air advection event or a significant revision in the final 24-hour maximum reported by the primary recording station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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